Iran qualified for the 2026 FIFA World Cup through AFC third-round play in March 2025 and has maintained its spot amid regional tensions. FIFA has repeatedly confirmed participation, with the team securing U.S. visas, finalizing its squad, and arranging a base camp in Tijuana, Mexico, to facilitate travel for group-stage matches in Los Angeles and Seattle. These steps, combined with the absence of any formal withdrawal by Iranian football authorities despite earlier diplomatic friction and security concerns tied to Middle East hostilities, underpin the near-certain trader consensus. Remaining variables include potential last-minute escalations in conflict or unforeseen logistical barriers that could prompt a sudden pullout before the June 15 opener.