Ukraine's constitutional framework prohibits presidential elections during martial law, which remains in effect through at least August 2, 2026, following its 19th extension approved by parliament and signed by President Zelenskyy in late April. This wartime measure, renewed in 90-day increments since February 2022, has postponed the vote originally due in 2024 and keeps the incumbent in office without a scheduled ballot before the June 30 resolution date. Trader consensus at 96.8 percent for "No" reflects these legal and procedural barriers, reinforced by recent parliamentary actions and Zelenskyy's public statements prioritizing security guarantees before any vote. A sudden ceasefire or early lifting of martial law could theoretically open a narrow path to elections, though both remain improbable within the tight remaining timeframe.