Brazil's Supreme Federal Court (STF) justices face removal only through Senate impeachment for crimes of responsibility, a process requiring initiation by the Prosecutor General and typically a qualified two-thirds majority for final conviction and removal, following recent procedural rulings that raised thresholds and limited standing. Multiple petitions have targeted justices such as Alexandre de Moraes and Gilmar Mendes in 2025-2026, yet congressional majorities have not advanced them to completion amid divided Senate votes and institutional pushback. Traders assign 96.6% probability to no removal before 2027 due to these structural barriers and lack of cross-party consensus. Late developments, including post-2026 election Senate shifts or unforeseen scandals, remain the primary routes that could alter this outlook within the window.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড3% সম্ভাবনা
$83,546 Vol.
$83,546 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
3% সম্ভাবনা
$83,546 Vol.
$83,546 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Brazil's Supreme Federal Court (STF) justices face removal only through Senate impeachment for crimes of responsibility, a process requiring initiation by the Prosecutor General and typically a qualified two-thirds majority for final conviction and removal, following recent procedural rulings that raised thresholds and limited standing. Multiple petitions have targeted justices such as Alexandre de Moraes and Gilmar Mendes in 2025-2026, yet congressional majorities have not advanced them to completion amid divided Senate votes and institutional pushback. Traders assign 96.6% probability to no removal before 2027 due to these structural barriers and lack of cross-party consensus. Late developments, including post-2026 election Senate shifts or unforeseen scandals, remain the primary routes that could alter this outlook within the window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
ভলিউম
$83,546শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Brazil's Supreme Federal Court (STF) justices face removal only through Senate impeachment for crimes of responsibility, a process requiring initiation by the Prosecutor General and typically a qualified two-thirds majority for final conviction and removal, following recent procedural rulings that raised thresholds and limited standing. Multiple petitions have targeted justices such as Alexandre de Moraes and Gilmar Mendes in 2025-2026, yet congressional majorities have not advanced them to completion amid divided Senate votes and institutional pushback. Traders assign 96.6% probability to no removal before 2027 due to these structural barriers and lack of cross-party consensus. Late developments, including post-2026 election Senate shifts or unforeseen scandals, remain the primary routes that could alter this outlook within the window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$83,546শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Brazil's Supreme Federal Court (STF) justices face removal only through Senate impeachment for crimes of responsibility, a process requiring initiation by the Prosecutor General and typically a qualified two-thirds majority for final conviction and removal, following recent procedural rulings that raised thresholds and limited standing. Multiple petitions have targeted justices such as Alexandre de Moraes and Gilmar Mendes in 2025-2026, yet congressional majorities have not advanced them to completion amid divided Senate votes and institutional pushback. Traders assign 96.6% probability to no removal before 2027 due to these structural barriers and lack of cross-party consensus. Late developments, including post-2026 election Senate shifts or unforeseen scandals, remain the primary routes that could alter this outlook within the window.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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