Redistricting under California Proposition 50 has shifted CA-03 from a lightly Republican district to a Safe Democratic stronghold, with voter registration favoring Democrats 39%-32% and recent presidential results showing a Harris +10 margin, anchoring trader consensus at 86% for a Democratic House winner. Incumbent GOP Rep. Kevin Kiley has not declared for the June 2 top-two primary after switching to independent affiliation in March, leaving a weak Republican field against well-funded Democrats like Rep. Ami Bera ($1.9 million cash on hand). Ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others rate it Solid or Safe Democratic, with the primary poised to advance two Democrats and secure the general election on November 3.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডCA-03 House Election Winner
CA-03 House Election Winner
$25,113 Vol.
$25,113 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
86%
Republican Party
14%
$25,113 Vol.
$25,113 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$13,178 Vol.
86%
Republican Party
$11,935 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting under California Proposition 50 has shifted CA-03 from a lightly Republican district to a Safe Democratic stronghold, with voter registration favoring Democrats 39%-32% and recent presidential results showing a Harris +10 margin, anchoring trader consensus at 86% for a Democratic House winner. Incumbent GOP Rep. Kevin Kiley has not declared for the June 2 top-two primary after switching to independent affiliation in March, leaving a weak Republican field against well-funded Democrats like Rep. Ami Bera ($1.9 million cash on hand). Ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others rate it Solid or Safe Democratic, with the primary poised to advance two Democrats and secure the general election on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
ভলিউম
$25,113শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting under California Proposition 50 has shifted CA-03 from a lightly Republican district to a Safe Democratic stronghold, with voter registration favoring Democrats 39%-32% and recent presidential results showing a Harris +10 margin, anchoring trader consensus at 86% for a Democratic House winner. Incumbent GOP Rep. Kevin Kiley has not declared for the June 2 top-two primary after switching to independent affiliation in March, leaving a weak Republican field against well-funded Democrats like Rep. Ami Bera ($1.9 million cash on hand). Ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others rate it Solid or Safe Democratic, with the primary poised to advance two Democrats and secure the general election on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$25,113শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting under California Proposition 50 has shifted CA-03 from a lightly Republican district to a Safe Democratic stronghold, with voter registration favoring Democrats 39%-32% and recent presidential results showing a Harris +10 margin, anchoring trader consensus at 86% for a Democratic House winner. Incumbent GOP Rep. Kevin Kiley has not declared for the June 2 top-two primary after switching to independent affiliation in March, leaving a weak Republican field against well-funded Democrats like Rep. Ami Bera ($1.9 million cash on hand). Ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others rate it Solid or Safe Democratic, with the primary poised to advance two Democrats and secure the general election on November 3.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা