Incumbent Democrat Mike Levin advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Armen Kurdian in California's 49th congressional district, which carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+7 and favored Democratic presidential candidates by double digits under the current map. Forecasters across outlets rate the November 3 general election as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the seat's underlying partisan composition, Levin's established incumbency advantages in fundraising and name recognition, and the limited strength of Republican opposition. Trader consensus at 94% for the Democratic nominee aligns with these structural factors and typical re-election rates for incumbents in comparable districts. Late developments such as an unexpected scandal, health event, or national political wave could still narrow the margin, though none have materialized to date.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডCA-49 House Election Winner
CA-49 House Election Winner
$20,224 Vol.
$20,224 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$20,224 Vol.
$20,224 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$18,997 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$1,227 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-49 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Mike Levin advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Armen Kurdian in California's 49th congressional district, which carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+7 and favored Democratic presidential candidates by double digits under the current map. Forecasters across outlets rate the November 3 general election as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the seat's underlying partisan composition, Levin's established incumbency advantages in fundraising and name recognition, and the limited strength of Republican opposition. Trader consensus at 94% for the Democratic nominee aligns with these structural factors and typical re-election rates for incumbents in comparable districts. Late developments such as an unexpected scandal, health event, or national political wave could still narrow the margin, though none have materialized to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-49 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
ভলিউম
$20,224শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-49 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Mike Levin advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Armen Kurdian in California's 49th congressional district, which carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+7 and favored Democratic presidential candidates by double digits under the current map. Forecasters across outlets rate the November 3 general election as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the seat's underlying partisan composition, Levin's established incumbency advantages in fundraising and name recognition, and the limited strength of Republican opposition. Trader consensus at 94% for the Democratic nominee aligns with these structural factors and typical re-election rates for incumbents in comparable districts. Late developments such as an unexpected scandal, health event, or national political wave could still narrow the margin, though none have materialized to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-49 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$20,224শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Mike Levin advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Armen Kurdian in California's 49th congressional district, which carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+7 and favored Democratic presidential candidates by double digits under the current map. Forecasters across outlets rate the November 3 general election as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the seat's underlying partisan composition, Levin's established incumbency advantages in fundraising and name recognition, and the limited strength of Republican opposition. Trader consensus at 94% for the Democratic nominee aligns with these structural factors and typical re-election rates for incumbents in comparable districts. Late developments such as an unexpected scandal, health event, or national political wave could still narrow the margin, though none have materialized to date.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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