Diplomatic expulsions of ambassadors remain exceptional steps reserved for severe breaches such as espionage or direct threats to sovereignty, and Canada has not pursued this measure despite strained bilateral ties under the current U.S. administration. Ongoing trade tensions, including tariff disputes and USMCA review timelines, have prompted public petitions exceeding 170,000 signatures calling for Ambassador Pete Hoekstra’s removal as persona non grata, yet these remain non-binding expressions of sentiment rather than official policy. The Canadian government has instead focused on measured responses, including selective tariff adjustments and diversification of economic partnerships, signaling a preference for negotiation. Trader consensus at 95.5% against expulsion by year-end reflects the absence of any government announcement or legislative push toward such action. Late developments, including escalation in trade measures or an unprecedented diplomatic incident, could still shift probabilities within the narrow remaining window.