Canada’s government under Prime Minister Mark Carney has consistently signaled that it will not pursue expulsion of U.S. Ambassador Pete Hoekstra, prioritizing stable diplomatic channels and ongoing CUSMA/USMCA renewal negotiations amid tariff disputes and bilateral frictions. Although a parliamentary petition with over 170,000 signatures—set for House of Commons presentation this fall—calls for declaring Hoekstra persona non grata over perceived interference in domestic affairs, official policy has emphasized restraint rather than escalation under the Vienna Convention on Diplomatic Relations. Traders assign roughly 95 percent probability to “No” by December 31 because such expulsions remain exceptional and the current administration views them as counterproductive to economic talks. A shift would require a major deterioration in relations or a change in government position before year-end.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড5% সম্ভাবনা
নতুন
নতুন
Dec 31, 2026
5% সম্ভাবনা
নতুন
নতুন
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Canada expels the United States Ambassador to Canada between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by Canada requiring the United States Ambassador to leave Canada, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to Canada will not alone suffice.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Canadian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Canada’s government under Prime Minister Mark Carney has consistently signaled that it will not pursue expulsion of U.S. Ambassador Pete Hoekstra, prioritizing stable diplomatic channels and ongoing CUSMA/USMCA renewal negotiations amid tariff disputes and bilateral frictions. Although a parliamentary petition with over 170,000 signatures—set for House of Commons presentation this fall—calls for declaring Hoekstra persona non grata over perceived interference in domestic affairs, official policy has emphasized restraint rather than escalation under the Vienna Convention on Diplomatic Relations. Traders assign roughly 95 percent probability to “No” by December 31 because such expulsions remain exceptional and the current administration views them as counterproductive to economic talks. A shift would require a major deterioration in relations or a change in government position before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Canada expels the United States Ambassador to Canada between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by Canada requiring the United States Ambassador to leave Canada, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to Canada will not alone suffice.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Canadian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by Canada requiring the United States Ambassador to leave Canada, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to Canada will not alone suffice.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Canadian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 13, 2026, 5:03 AM ET
ভলিউম
$96শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 13, 2026, 5:03 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Canada expels the United States Ambassador to Canada between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by Canada requiring the United States Ambassador to leave Canada, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to Canada will not alone suffice.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Canadian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Canada’s government under Prime Minister Mark Carney has consistently signaled that it will not pursue expulsion of U.S. Ambassador Pete Hoekstra, prioritizing stable diplomatic channels and ongoing CUSMA/USMCA renewal negotiations amid tariff disputes and bilateral frictions. Although a parliamentary petition with over 170,000 signatures—set for House of Commons presentation this fall—calls for declaring Hoekstra persona non grata over perceived interference in domestic affairs, official policy has emphasized restraint rather than escalation under the Vienna Convention on Diplomatic Relations. Traders assign roughly 95 percent probability to “No” by December 31 because such expulsions remain exceptional and the current administration views them as counterproductive to economic talks. A shift would require a major deterioration in relations or a change in government position before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Canada expels the United States Ambassador to Canada between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by Canada requiring the United States Ambassador to leave Canada, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to Canada will not alone suffice.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Canadian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by Canada requiring the United States Ambassador to leave Canada, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to Canada will not alone suffice.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Canadian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$96শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 13, 2026, 5:03 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Canada’s government under Prime Minister Mark Carney has consistently signaled that it will not pursue expulsion of U.S. Ambassador Pete Hoekstra, prioritizing stable diplomatic channels and ongoing CUSMA/USMCA renewal negotiations amid tariff disputes and bilateral frictions. Although a parliamentary petition with over 170,000 signatures—set for House of Commons presentation this fall—calls for declaring Hoekstra persona non grata over perceived interference in domestic affairs, official policy has emphasized restraint rather than escalation under the Vienna Convention on Diplomatic Relations. Traders assign roughly 95 percent probability to “No” by December 31 because such expulsions remain exceptional and the current administration views them as counterproductive to economic talks. A shift would require a major deterioration in relations or a change in government position before year-end.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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