Recent energy price shocks tied to Middle East tensions have lifted Euro area inflation forecasts to around 3% for 2026 while prompting downward revisions to GDP growth projections from institutions including the ECB (0.8%), European Commission (0.9%), and OECD (0.8%). These developments, alongside ECB rate hikes and tighter financial conditions, underpin the 63.5% implied probability on 0-1.0% annual growth, with the secondary 24.5% probability on 1.0-2.0% reflecting modest Q2 resilience from AI investment and fiscal support. Traders appear focused on the balance between persistent stagflation risks and potential de-escalation catalysts ahead of further data releases.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড0-1.0% 63.5%
1.0-2.0% 25%
4.0-5.0% 5.2%
<0% 4.5%
$29,445 Vol.
$29,445 Vol.
Jan 31, 2027
<0%
5%
0-1.0%
64%
1.0-2.0%
25%
2.0-3.0%
1%
3.0-4.0%
<1%
4.0-5.0%
5%
5.0-6.0%
<1%
6.0-7.0%
<1%
7.0%+
<1%
0-1.0% 63.5%
1.0-2.0% 25%
4.0-5.0% 5.2%
<0% 4.5%
$29,445 Vol.
$29,445 Vol.
Jan 31, 2027
<0%
$1,623 Vol.
5%
0-1.0%
$11,193 Vol.
64%
1.0-2.0%
$6,976 Vol.
25%
2.0-3.0%
$1,131 Vol.
1%
3.0-4.0%
$1,047 Vol.
<1%
4.0-5.0%
$2,134 Vol.
5%
5.0-6.0%
$1,136 Vol.
<1%
6.0-7.0%
$2,599 Vol.
<1%
7.0%+
$1,606 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent energy price shocks tied to Middle East tensions have lifted Euro area inflation forecasts to around 3% for 2026 while prompting downward revisions to GDP growth projections from institutions including the ECB (0.8%), European Commission (0.9%), and OECD (0.8%). These developments, alongside ECB rate hikes and tighter financial conditions, underpin the 63.5% implied probability on 0-1.0% annual growth, with the secondary 24.5% probability on 1.0-2.0% reflecting modest Q2 resilience from AI investment and fiscal support. Traders appear focused on the balance between persistent stagflation risks and potential de-escalation catalysts ahead of further data releases.
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
ভলিউম
$29,445শেষ তারিখ
Jan 31, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent energy price shocks tied to Middle East tensions have lifted Euro area inflation forecasts to around 3% for 2026 while prompting downward revisions to GDP growth projections from institutions including the ECB (0.8%), European Commission (0.9%), and OECD (0.8%). These developments, alongside ECB rate hikes and tighter financial conditions, underpin the 63.5% implied probability on 0-1.0% annual growth, with the secondary 24.5% probability on 1.0-2.0% reflecting modest Q2 resilience from AI investment and fiscal support. Traders appear focused on the balance between persistent stagflation risks and potential de-escalation catalysts ahead of further data releases.
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$29,445শেষ তারিখ
Jan 31, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent energy price shocks tied to Middle East tensions have lifted Euro area inflation forecasts to around 3% for 2026 while prompting downward revisions to GDP growth projections from institutions including the ECB (0.8%), European Commission (0.9%), and OECD (0.8%). These developments, alongside ECB rate hikes and tighter financial conditions, underpin the 63.5% implied probability on 0-1.0% annual growth, with the secondary 24.5% probability on 1.0-2.0% reflecting modest Q2 resilience from AI investment and fiscal support. Traders appear focused on the balance between persistent stagflation risks and potential de-escalation catalysts ahead of further data releases.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা