Elevated energy prices stemming from the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict have pushed inflation readings higher, with oil up roughly 25% from pre-war levels and contributing to above-target core PCE and recent CPI prints. The federal funds rate remains at 3.50-3.75%, where the Fed held steady at its July meeting under new Chair Kevin Warsh. Softer July employment data has tempered immediate tightening bets, yet futures markets still imply a modest path higher, with some analysts now forecasting a 25-basis-point hike by year-end. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty around the September 15-16 FOMC meeting and upcoming inflation releases, as the committee balances persistent price pressures against labor-market cooling and limited forward guidance.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডFed rate hike by...?
Fed rate hike by...?
$2,329,388 Vol.
Dec 8, 2026
September Meeting
28%
October Meeting
41%
$2,329,388 Vol.
September Meeting
$882,328 Vol.
28%
October Meeting
$487,060 Vol.
41%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Elevated energy prices stemming from the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict have pushed inflation readings higher, with oil up roughly 25% from pre-war levels and contributing to above-target core PCE and recent CPI prints. The federal funds rate remains at 3.50-3.75%, where the Fed held steady at its July meeting under new Chair Kevin Warsh. Softer July employment data has tempered immediate tightening bets, yet futures markets still imply a modest path higher, with some analysts now forecasting a 25-basis-point hike by year-end. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty around the September 15-16 FOMC meeting and upcoming inflation releases, as the committee balances persistent price pressures against labor-market cooling and limited forward guidance.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
ভলিউম
$2,329,388শেষ তারিখ
Oct 29, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Elevated energy prices stemming from the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict have pushed inflation readings higher, with oil up roughly 25% from pre-war levels and contributing to above-target core PCE and recent CPI prints. The federal funds rate remains at 3.50-3.75%, where the Fed held steady at its July meeting under new Chair Kevin Warsh. Softer July employment data has tempered immediate tightening bets, yet futures markets still imply a modest path higher, with some analysts now forecasting a 25-basis-point hike by year-end. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty around the September 15-16 FOMC meeting and upcoming inflation releases, as the committee balances persistent price pressures against labor-market cooling and limited forward guidance.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$2,329,388শেষ তারিখ
Oct 29, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Elevated energy prices stemming from the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict have pushed inflation readings higher, with oil up roughly 25% from pre-war levels and contributing to above-target core PCE and recent CPI prints. The federal funds rate remains at 3.50-3.75%, where the Fed held steady at its July meeting under new Chair Kevin Warsh. Softer July employment data has tempered immediate tightening bets, yet futures markets still imply a modest path higher, with some analysts now forecasting a 25-basis-point hike by year-end. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty around the September 15-16 FOMC meeting and upcoming inflation releases, as the committee balances persistent price pressures against labor-market cooling and limited forward guidance.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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