Recent July CPI at 3.4% year-over-year alongside a soft nonfarm payrolls report and three FOMC dissents favoring a hike have kept the September 15-16 meeting in focus, with fed funds futures pricing a near-even chance of a 25-basis-point increase from the current 3.50-3.75% target range. Persistent inflation above the 2% goal, driven partly by energy supply shocks, contrasts with moderating core readings and steady unemployment, leaving market-implied odds sensitive to incoming data. The next key catalysts include August employment and inflation releases plus any additional FOMC communications ahead of the vote, which will shape trader consensus on near-term monetary policy tightening.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডFed rate hike by...?
Fed rate hike by...?
$2,244,584 Vol.
Dec 9, 2026
September Meeting
23%
October Meeting
40%
$2,244,584 Vol.
September Meeting
$833,728 Vol.
23%
October Meeting
$450,855 Vol.
40%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent July CPI at 3.4% year-over-year alongside a soft nonfarm payrolls report and three FOMC dissents favoring a hike have kept the September 15-16 meeting in focus, with fed funds futures pricing a near-even chance of a 25-basis-point increase from the current 3.50-3.75% target range. Persistent inflation above the 2% goal, driven partly by energy supply shocks, contrasts with moderating core readings and steady unemployment, leaving market-implied odds sensitive to incoming data. The next key catalysts include August employment and inflation releases plus any additional FOMC communications ahead of the vote, which will shape trader consensus on near-term monetary policy tightening.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
ভলিউম
$2,244,584শেষ তারিখ
Oct 29, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent July CPI at 3.4% year-over-year alongside a soft nonfarm payrolls report and three FOMC dissents favoring a hike have kept the September 15-16 meeting in focus, with fed funds futures pricing a near-even chance of a 25-basis-point increase from the current 3.50-3.75% target range. Persistent inflation above the 2% goal, driven partly by energy supply shocks, contrasts with moderating core readings and steady unemployment, leaving market-implied odds sensitive to incoming data. The next key catalysts include August employment and inflation releases plus any additional FOMC communications ahead of the vote, which will shape trader consensus on near-term monetary policy tightening.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$2,244,584শেষ তারিখ
Oct 29, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent July CPI at 3.4% year-over-year alongside a soft nonfarm payrolls report and three FOMC dissents favoring a hike have kept the September 15-16 meeting in focus, with fed funds futures pricing a near-even chance of a 25-basis-point increase from the current 3.50-3.75% target range. Persistent inflation above the 2% goal, driven partly by energy supply shocks, contrasts with moderating core readings and steady unemployment, leaving market-implied odds sensitive to incoming data. The next key catalysts include August employment and inflation releases plus any additional FOMC communications ahead of the vote, which will shape trader consensus on near-term monetary policy tightening.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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