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icon for Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election

Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election

icon for Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election

Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election

Fernando Dias da Costa 8.0%

Umaro Sissoco Embaló 4.0%

José Mário Vaz 2.8%

Baciro Djá 1.7%

Polymarket

$339,326 Vol.

Fernando Dias da Costa 8.0%

Umaro Sissoco Embaló 4.0%

José Mário Vaz 2.8%

Baciro Djá 1.7%

Polymarket

$339,326 Vol.

Fernando Dias da Costa

$58,213 Vol.

20%

Umaro Sissoco Embaló

$90,965 Vol.

10%

José Mário Vaz

$22,291 Vol.

3%

Baciro Djá

$14,548 Vol.

2%

Honório Augusto Lopes

$18,792 Vol.

2%

João Bernardo Vieira

$16,799 Vol.

2%

João de Deus Mendes

$17,879 Vol.

2%

Mário da Silva Júnior

$18,350 Vol.

2%

Siga Batista

$25,661 Vol.

2%

Gabriel Fernando Indi

$19,458 Vol.

2%

Mamadu Iaia Djaló

$19,952 Vol.

2%

Herculano Armando Bequinsa

$16,419 Vol.

1%

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).The post-coup transitional government in Guinea-Bissau, installed after the annulled November 2025 vote and scheduled to hold fresh presidential and legislative elections on December 6, 2026, has produced a highly fragmented field. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with Fernando Dias da Costa holding the clearest edge due to his prior opposition backing and strong 2025 performance before the military intervention, while former president Umaro Sissoco Embaló trails amid his ouster. A September 2026 constitutional referendum expanding presidential authority and reshaping electoral rules adds further variables, including new eligibility requirements and reduced parliamentary seats, that could favor candidates able to build broader coalitions or secure institutional support ahead of the vote. Minor candidates remain sidelined pending major alliances or endorsements.

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
ভলিউম
$339,326
শেষ তারিখ
Nov 23, 2025
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 6, 2025, 6:18 PM ET

রেজলভার

0x2F5e3684c...
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).The post-coup transitional government in Guinea-Bissau, installed after the annulled November 2025 vote and scheduled to hold fresh presidential and legislative elections on December 6, 2026, has produced a highly fragmented field. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with Fernando Dias da Costa holding the clearest edge due to his prior opposition backing and strong 2025 performance before the military intervention, while former president Umaro Sissoco Embaló trails amid his ouster. A September 2026 constitutional referendum expanding presidential authority and reshaping electoral rules adds further variables, including new eligibility requirements and reduced parliamentary seats, that could favor candidates able to build broader coalitions or secure institutional support ahead of the vote. Minor candidates remain sidelined pending major alliances or endorsements.

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
ভলিউম
$339,326
শেষ তারিখ
Nov 23, 2025
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 6, 2025, 6:18 PM ET

রেজলভার

0x2F5e3684c...

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বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।

সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা

"Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election" হলো Polymarket-এ 12 সম্ভাব্য ফলাফলসহ একটি প্রেডিকশন মার্কেট যেখানে ট্রেডাররা কী ঘটবে বলে বিশ্বাস করে তার ভিত্তিতে শেয়ার কেনাবেচা করে। বর্তমান শীর্ষ ফলাফল "Fernando Dias da Costa" 20%-এ, তারপর "Umaro Sissoco Embaló" 10%-এ। দাম রিয়েল-টাইম ক্রাউড-সোর্সড সম্ভাবনা প্রতিফলিত করে। মার্কেট রেজোলিউশনে সঠিক ফলাফলের শেয়ার প্রতিটি $1-এ রিডিমযোগ্য।

আজ পর্যন্ত, "Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election" মোট $339.3K ট্রেডিং ভলিউম তৈরি করেছে মার্কেট Nov 6, 2025-এ লঞ্চ হওয়ার পর থেকে। এই স্তরের ট্রেডিং অ্যাক্টিভিটি Polymarket কমিউনিটির শক্তিশালী এনগেজমেন্ট প্রতিফলিত করে এবং নিশ্চিত করতে সাহায্য করে যে বর্তমান অডস মার্কেট অংশগ্রহণকারীদের একটি গভীর পুল দ্বারা অবহিত। আপনি এই পেজে সরাসরি লাইভ মূল্য মুভমেন্ট ট্র্যাক করতে ও যেকোনো ফলাফলে ট্রেড করতে পারেন।

"Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election"-এ ট্রেড করতে, এই পেজে তালিকাভুক্ত 12 উপলব্ধ ফলাফল ব্রাউজ করুন। প্রতিটি ফলাফল মার্কেটের ইম্প্লায়েড প্রবাবিলিটি প্রতিনিধিত্ব করে একটি বর্তমান দাম দেখায়। পজিশন নিতে, আপনি যে ফলাফলকে সবচেয়ে সম্ভাবনাময় মনে করেন সেটি নির্বাচন করুন, এর পক্ষে "Yes" বা বিপক্ষে "No" বেছে নিন, আপনার পরিমাণ লিখুন এবং "Trade" ক্লিক করুন। মার্কেট রেজলভ হলে আপনার নির্বাচিত ফলাফল সঠিক হলে, আপনার "Yes" শেয়ার প্রতিটি $1 দেয়। ভুল হলে, $0 দেয়।

"Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election"-এর বর্তমান ফ্রন্টরানার "Fernando Dias da Costa" 20%-এ, মানে মার্কেট সেই ফলাফলে 20% সম্ভাবনা নির্ধারণ করে। পরবর্তী নিকটতম ফলাফল "Umaro Sissoco Embaló" 10%-এ। এই অডস রিয়েল-টাইমে আপডেট হয়।

"Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election"-এর রেজোলিউশন নিয়ম সঠিকভাবে সংজ্ঞায়িত করে প্রতিটি ফলাফলকে বিজয়ী ঘোষণা করতে কী ঘটতে হবে — ফলাফল নির্ধারণে ব্যবহৃত অফিসিয়াল ডেটা সোর্স সহ। আপনি এই পেজের মন্তব্যের উপরে "Rules" সেকশনে সম্পূর্ণ রেজোলিউশন মানদণ্ড রিভিউ করতে পারেন।