Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99.9% implied probability to Austin reaching 82°F or higher today, driven by the National Weather Service forecast of mostly sunny skies and highs near 92°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS), the market's resolution station. This positioning stems from consistent model runs across GFS and ECMWF ensembles showing a persistent upper-level ridge promoting adiabatic heating and minimal cloud interference, amid Central Texas' ongoing warming trend with above-normal spring temperatures. Recent observations confirm morning lows around 68°F, supporting peak afternoon heating. Realistic challenges include an unexpected influx of Gulf moisture sparking isolated thunderstorms or unforecasted haze reducing insolation, though such disruptions remain low-probability per current guidance, with hourly updates expected through evening.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Austin on May 14?
Highest temperature in Austin on May 14?
82°F or higher 99.8%
80-81°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$89,280 Vol.
$89,280 Vol.
May 14, 2026
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
100%
82°F or higher 99.8%
80-81°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$89,280 Vol.
$89,280 Vol.
May 14, 2026
63°F or below
$9,142 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$3,324 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$7,014 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$5,391 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$6,164 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$5,631 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$5,532 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$6,860 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$5,842 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$9,213 Vol.
<1%
82°F or higher
$25,167 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99.9% implied probability to Austin reaching 82°F or higher today, driven by the National Weather Service forecast of mostly sunny skies and highs near 92°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS), the market's resolution station. This positioning stems from consistent model runs across GFS and ECMWF ensembles showing a persistent upper-level ridge promoting adiabatic heating and minimal cloud interference, amid Central Texas' ongoing warming trend with above-normal spring temperatures. Recent observations confirm morning lows around 68°F, supporting peak afternoon heating. Realistic challenges include an unexpected influx of Gulf moisture sparking isolated thunderstorms or unforecasted haze reducing insolation, though such disruptions remain low-probability per current guidance, with hourly updates expected through evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
ভলিউম
$89,280শেষ তারিখ
May 14, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99.9% implied probability to Austin reaching 82°F or higher today, driven by the National Weather Service forecast of mostly sunny skies and highs near 92°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS), the market's resolution station. This positioning stems from consistent model runs across GFS and ECMWF ensembles showing a persistent upper-level ridge promoting adiabatic heating and minimal cloud interference, amid Central Texas' ongoing warming trend with above-normal spring temperatures. Recent observations confirm morning lows around 68°F, supporting peak afternoon heating. Realistic challenges include an unexpected influx of Gulf moisture sparking isolated thunderstorms or unforecasted haze reducing insolation, though such disruptions remain low-probability per current guidance, with hourly updates expected through evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$89,280শেষ তারিখ
May 14, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99.9% implied probability to Austin reaching 82°F or higher today, driven by the National Weather Service forecast of mostly sunny skies and highs near 92°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS), the market's resolution station. This positioning stems from consistent model runs across GFS and ECMWF ensembles showing a persistent upper-level ridge promoting adiabatic heating and minimal cloud interference, amid Central Texas' ongoing warming trend with above-normal spring temperatures. Recent observations confirm morning lows around 68°F, supporting peak afternoon heating. Realistic challenges include an unexpected influx of Gulf moisture sparking isolated thunderstorms or unforecasted haze reducing insolation, though such disruptions remain low-probability per current guidance, with hourly updates expected through evening.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা