Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models point to a daytime maximum of 27–28 °C on May 18, driven by a subtropical ridge that maintains partly cloudy skies, limits solar heating, and sustains moderate easterly flow. This setup produces a modest cooling anomaly relative to the May climatological average of 28–30 °C, positioning 27 °C as the clear market favorite at 49 % implied probability while 26 °C holds secondary support. Historical May records show occasional cooler spells under similar ridge patterns, and traders are weighting the latest model consensus heavily ahead of the day’s final observational data.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 18?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 18?
27°C 51%
26°C 34%
28°C 13%
25°C 3.5%
নতুন
$83,329 Vol.
নতুন
$83,329 Vol.
May 18, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
3%
26°C
34%
27°C
51%
28°C
13%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 51%
26°C 34%
28°C 13%
25°C 3.5%
নতুন
$83,329 Vol.
নতুন
$83,329 Vol.
May 18, 2026
21°C or below
$5,221 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$3,756 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$14,385 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$8,191 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$7,868 Vol.
3%
26°C
$8,620 Vol.
34%
27°C
$5,417 Vol.
51%
28°C
$5,689 Vol.
13%
29°C
$9,484 Vol.
3%
30°C
$5,934 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$8,918 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models point to a daytime maximum of 27–28 °C on May 18, driven by a subtropical ridge that maintains partly cloudy skies, limits solar heating, and sustains moderate easterly flow. This setup produces a modest cooling anomaly relative to the May climatological average of 28–30 °C, positioning 27 °C as the clear market favorite at 49 % implied probability while 26 °C holds secondary support. Historical May records show occasional cooler spells under similar ridge patterns, and traders are weighting the latest model consensus heavily ahead of the day’s final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ভলিউম
$83,329শেষ তারিখ
May 18, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models point to a daytime maximum of 27–28 °C on May 18, driven by a subtropical ridge that maintains partly cloudy skies, limits solar heating, and sustains moderate easterly flow. This setup produces a modest cooling anomaly relative to the May climatological average of 28–30 °C, positioning 27 °C as the clear market favorite at 49 % implied probability while 26 °C holds secondary support. Historical May records show occasional cooler spells under similar ridge patterns, and traders are weighting the latest model consensus heavily ahead of the day’s final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$83,329শেষ তারিখ
May 18, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETCurrent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models point to a daytime maximum of 27–28 °C on May 18, driven by a subtropical ridge that maintains partly cloudy skies, limits solar heating, and sustains moderate easterly flow. This setup produces a modest cooling anomaly relative to the May climatological average of 28–30 °C, positioning 27 °C as the clear market favorite at 49 % implied probability while 26 °C holds secondary support. Historical May records show occasional cooler spells under similar ridge patterns, and traders are weighting the latest model consensus heavily ahead of the day’s final observational data.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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