Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center aligned on a daytime maximum of 26°C for Moscow on May 17, driven by stable easterly flow, widespread cloud cover, and light rain that capped radiative heating and kept surface temperatures from exceeding this threshold. Numerical weather models showed strong consensus around this value, consistent with mid-May climatology where typical highs range from 18–22°C but can reach the mid-20s under similar synoptic patterns. The market's 99.9% implied probability for exactly 26°C reflects verified station data from VDNKh, with minimal uncertainty in the final observation. Only an unexpected shift in local microclimate or post-event measurement revision could realistically move odds toward 27°C or higher.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Moscow on May 17?
27°C <1%
28°C or higher <1%
26°C 0
$69,160 Vol.
$69,160 Vol.
26°C
-
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
27°C <1%
28°C or higher <1%
26°C 0
$69,160 Vol.
$69,160 Vol.
26°C
-
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center aligned on a daytime maximum of 26°C for Moscow on May 17, driven by stable easterly flow, widespread cloud cover, and light rain that capped radiative heating and kept surface temperatures from exceeding this threshold. Numerical weather models showed strong consensus around this value, consistent with mid-May climatology where typical highs range from 18–22°C but can reach the mid-20s under similar synoptic patterns. The market's 99.9% implied probability for exactly 26°C reflects verified station data from VDNKh, with minimal uncertainty in the final observation. Only an unexpected shift in local microclimate or post-event measurement revision could realistically move odds toward 27°C or higher.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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