Recent ensemble forecasts from major global models show a warm air advection pattern building over central Russia, positioning Moscow for a high of 27–30 °C on May 18. Clear skies and light winds are expected to maximize daytime heating, while modest model spread in the timing of any late-day cloud increase keeps the exact peak uncertain. Trader consensus accordingly clusters around 29 °C and 30 °C at 22 % each, followed closely by 27 °C, reflecting this narrow but unresolved range. Updated runs from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and ECMWF over the next 48 hours will provide the final observational constraints before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Moscow on May 18?
31°C or higher 28%
30°C 22%
28°C 21%
29°C 21%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
5%
25°C
5%
26°C
12%
27°C
20%
28°C
21%
29°C
21%
30°C
22%
31°C or higher
16%
31°C or higher 28%
30°C 22%
28°C 21%
29°C 21%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
5%
25°C
5%
26°C
12%
27°C
20%
28°C
21%
29°C
21%
30°C
22%
31°C or higher
16%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent ensemble forecasts from major global models show a warm air advection pattern building over central Russia, positioning Moscow for a high of 27–30 °C on May 18. Clear skies and light winds are expected to maximize daytime heating, while modest model spread in the timing of any late-day cloud increase keeps the exact peak uncertain. Trader consensus accordingly clusters around 29 °C and 30 °C at 22 % each, followed closely by 27 °C, reflecting this narrow but unresolved range. Updated runs from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and ECMWF over the next 48 hours will provide the final observational constraints before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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