Recent MetService forecasts project a 14°C daily maximum for Wellington on May 18 under fine conditions and light southeasterly winds, aligning with the market's leading 14°C outcome at 49% implied probability. Autumn synoptic patterns over the Cook Strait region, featuring cooler southerly flows and limited daytime heating, support this consensus while ensemble models introduce modest uncertainty that elevates the 15°C contract to 37.5%. Historical May averages near 14–15°C provide climatological context, and any late-model shift in wind strength or cloud cover could adjust the peak by a degree. Traders appear to price the narrow forecast window and typical one-degree resolution risk for this time of year.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Wellington on May 18?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 18?
14°C 50%
15°C 37%
13°C 10.0%
12°C 3.0%
নতুন
$30,402 Vol.
নতুন
$30,402 Vol.
May 18, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
3%
13°C
10%
14°C
50%
15°C
37%
16°C
3%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 50%
15°C 37%
13°C 10.0%
12°C 3.0%
নতুন
$30,402 Vol.
নতুন
$30,402 Vol.
May 18, 2026
8°C or below
$681 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$485 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$540 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$4,720 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$3,744 Vol.
3%
13°C
$4,191 Vol.
10%
14°C
$3,745 Vol.
50%
15°C
$2,760 Vol.
37%
16°C
$5,627 Vol.
3%
17°C
$2,889 Vol.
1%
18°C or higher
$1,827 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent MetService forecasts project a 14°C daily maximum for Wellington on May 18 under fine conditions and light southeasterly winds, aligning with the market's leading 14°C outcome at 49% implied probability. Autumn synoptic patterns over the Cook Strait region, featuring cooler southerly flows and limited daytime heating, support this consensus while ensemble models introduce modest uncertainty that elevates the 15°C contract to 37.5%. Historical May averages near 14–15°C provide climatological context, and any late-model shift in wind strength or cloud cover could adjust the peak by a degree. Traders appear to price the narrow forecast window and typical one-degree resolution risk for this time of year.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ভলিউম
$30,402শেষ তারিখ
May 18, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent MetService forecasts project a 14°C daily maximum for Wellington on May 18 under fine conditions and light southeasterly winds, aligning with the market's leading 14°C outcome at 49% implied probability. Autumn synoptic patterns over the Cook Strait region, featuring cooler southerly flows and limited daytime heating, support this consensus while ensemble models introduce modest uncertainty that elevates the 15°C contract to 37.5%. Historical May averages near 14–15°C provide climatological context, and any late-model shift in wind strength or cloud cover could adjust the peak by a degree. Traders appear to price the narrow forecast window and typical one-degree resolution risk for this time of year.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$30,402শেষ তারিখ
May 18, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent MetService forecasts project a 14°C daily maximum for Wellington on May 18 under fine conditions and light southeasterly winds, aligning with the market's leading 14°C outcome at 49% implied probability. Autumn synoptic patterns over the Cook Strait region, featuring cooler southerly flows and limited daytime heating, support this consensus while ensemble models introduce modest uncertainty that elevates the 15°C contract to 37.5%. Historical May averages near 14–15°C provide climatological context, and any late-model shift in wind strength or cloud cover could adjust the peak by a degree. Traders appear to price the narrow forecast window and typical one-degree resolution risk for this time of year.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা