Iran’s internal power dynamics have intensified amid the aftermath of the 2026 conflict and Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei’s death, with hardliners publicly warning of coup plots by civilian figures such as President Masoud Pezeshkian and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf against Mojtaba Khamenei’s leadership. These accusations surfaced in July 2026 as the U.S.-Iran truce faced renewed strain over Strait of Hormuz shipping disputes and IRGC actions. Ongoing factional tensions between moderates and hardline Revolutionary Guard elements, combined with protests, sanctions, and leadership transition frictions, continue to shape assessments of regime stability. Scheduled diplomatic talks and any further military or protest developments through late 2026 remain key variables that could influence trader views on the probability of an overt coup attempt.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$2,122,602 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
December 31
8%
$2,122,602 Vol.
December 31
$81,376 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran’s internal power dynamics have intensified amid the aftermath of the 2026 conflict and Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei’s death, with hardliners publicly warning of coup plots by civilian figures such as President Masoud Pezeshkian and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf against Mojtaba Khamenei’s leadership. These accusations surfaced in July 2026 as the U.S.-Iran truce faced renewed strain over Strait of Hormuz shipping disputes and IRGC actions. Ongoing factional tensions between moderates and hardline Revolutionary Guard elements, combined with protests, sanctions, and leadership transition frictions, continue to shape assessments of regime stability. Scheduled diplomatic talks and any further military or protest developments through late 2026 remain key variables that could influence trader views on the probability of an overt coup attempt.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jun 30, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
ভলিউম
$2,122,602শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 30, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran’s internal power dynamics have intensified amid the aftermath of the 2026 conflict and Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei’s death, with hardliners publicly warning of coup plots by civilian figures such as President Masoud Pezeshkian and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf against Mojtaba Khamenei’s leadership. These accusations surfaced in July 2026 as the U.S.-Iran truce faced renewed strain over Strait of Hormuz shipping disputes and IRGC actions. Ongoing factional tensions between moderates and hardline Revolutionary Guard elements, combined with protests, sanctions, and leadership transition frictions, continue to shape assessments of regime stability. Scheduled diplomatic talks and any further military or protest developments through late 2026 remain key variables that could influence trader views on the probability of an overt coup attempt.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$2,122,602শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 30, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran’s internal power dynamics have intensified amid the aftermath of the 2026 conflict and Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei’s death, with hardliners publicly warning of coup plots by civilian figures such as President Masoud Pezeshkian and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf against Mojtaba Khamenei’s leadership. These accusations surfaced in July 2026 as the U.S.-Iran truce faced renewed strain over Strait of Hormuz shipping disputes and IRGC actions. Ongoing factional tensions between moderates and hardline Revolutionary Guard elements, combined with protests, sanctions, and leadership transition frictions, continue to shape assessments of regime stability. Scheduled diplomatic talks and any further military or protest developments through late 2026 remain key variables that could influence trader views on the probability of an overt coup attempt.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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