Strong trader consensus against full removal of Jones Act domestic shipping requirements by June 30, 2026, stems from the statute’s deep entrenchment as a century-old protectionist measure that shields U.S. shipyards, maritime unions, and domestic vessel operators from foreign competition. Recent temporary waivers issued in March and extended through August amid Iran-related energy disruptions and elevated fuel prices have eased short-term logistics costs without altering the underlying law, reflecting executive flexibility rather than structural reform. Congressional inaction, combined with vocal industry opposition emphasizing national security and jobs, has kept permanent repeal or broad invalidation off the agenda. The market-implied odds near 99.8% for “No” therefore embed a high base-rate expectation that the status quo will persist through the resolution date, though low-probability tail risks such as an acute supply-chain crisis could theoretically prompt accelerated legislative action.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$52,403 Vol.
$52,403 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
$52,403 Vol.
$52,403 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
The Jones Act of 1920 requires that all goods transported by water between U.S. ports be carried by vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Jones Act is repealed, altered, or invalidated, or new legislation becomes law, such that any of the Jones Act domestic shipping restrictions to vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews are fully removed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A removal of any of the listed domestic shipping requirements will count. For example, the removal of the domestic shipping requirements for ships to be built in and flagged to the U.S., without the removal of the requirements for those ships to be owned by U.S. citizens to be manned by U.S. crews, would count.
New legislation includes any congressional legislation or any executive order, proclamation, memorandum, or other legally-binding executive action which effectively removes one of the listed Jones Act requirements.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government. If official information is unavailable or unclear, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Strong trader consensus against full removal of Jones Act domestic shipping requirements by June 30, 2026, stems from the statute’s deep entrenchment as a century-old protectionist measure that shields U.S. shipyards, maritime unions, and domestic vessel operators from foreign competition. Recent temporary waivers issued in March and extended through August amid Iran-related energy disruptions and elevated fuel prices have eased short-term logistics costs without altering the underlying law, reflecting executive flexibility rather than structural reform. Congressional inaction, combined with vocal industry opposition emphasizing national security and jobs, has kept permanent repeal or broad invalidation off the agenda. The market-implied odds near 99.8% for “No” therefore embed a high base-rate expectation that the status quo will persist through the resolution date, though low-probability tail risks such as an acute supply-chain crisis could theoretically prompt accelerated legislative action.
The Jones Act of 1920 requires that all goods transported by water between U.S. ports be carried by vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Jones Act is repealed, altered, or invalidated, or new legislation becomes law, such that any of the Jones Act domestic shipping restrictions to vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews are fully removed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A removal of any of the listed domestic shipping requirements will count. For example, the removal of the domestic shipping requirements for ships to be built in and flagged to the U.S., without the removal of the requirements for those ships to be owned by U.S. citizens to be manned by U.S. crews, would count.
New legislation includes any congressional legislation or any executive order, proclamation, memorandum, or other legally-binding executive action which effectively removes one of the listed Jones Act requirements.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government. If official information is unavailable or unclear, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Jones Act is repealed, altered, or invalidated, or new legislation becomes law, such that any of the Jones Act domestic shipping restrictions to vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews are fully removed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A removal of any of the listed domestic shipping requirements will count. For example, the removal of the domestic shipping requirements for ships to be built in and flagged to the U.S., without the removal of the requirements for those ships to be owned by U.S. citizens to be manned by U.S. crews, would count.
New legislation includes any congressional legislation or any executive order, proclamation, memorandum, or other legally-binding executive action which effectively removes one of the listed Jones Act requirements.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government. If official information is unavailable or unclear, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Mar 9, 2026, 12:50 PM ET
ভলিউম
$52,403শেষ তারিখ
Jun 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 9, 2026, 12:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Jones Act of 1920 requires that all goods transported by water between U.S. ports be carried by vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Jones Act is repealed, altered, or invalidated, or new legislation becomes law, such that any of the Jones Act domestic shipping restrictions to vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews are fully removed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A removal of any of the listed domestic shipping requirements will count. For example, the removal of the domestic shipping requirements for ships to be built in and flagged to the U.S., without the removal of the requirements for those ships to be owned by U.S. citizens to be manned by U.S. crews, would count.
New legislation includes any congressional legislation or any executive order, proclamation, memorandum, or other legally-binding executive action which effectively removes one of the listed Jones Act requirements.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government. If official information is unavailable or unclear, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Strong trader consensus against full removal of Jones Act domestic shipping requirements by June 30, 2026, stems from the statute’s deep entrenchment as a century-old protectionist measure that shields U.S. shipyards, maritime unions, and domestic vessel operators from foreign competition. Recent temporary waivers issued in March and extended through August amid Iran-related energy disruptions and elevated fuel prices have eased short-term logistics costs without altering the underlying law, reflecting executive flexibility rather than structural reform. Congressional inaction, combined with vocal industry opposition emphasizing national security and jobs, has kept permanent repeal or broad invalidation off the agenda. The market-implied odds near 99.8% for “No” therefore embed a high base-rate expectation that the status quo will persist through the resolution date, though low-probability tail risks such as an acute supply-chain crisis could theoretically prompt accelerated legislative action.
The Jones Act of 1920 requires that all goods transported by water between U.S. ports be carried by vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Jones Act is repealed, altered, or invalidated, or new legislation becomes law, such that any of the Jones Act domestic shipping restrictions to vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews are fully removed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A removal of any of the listed domestic shipping requirements will count. For example, the removal of the domestic shipping requirements for ships to be built in and flagged to the U.S., without the removal of the requirements for those ships to be owned by U.S. citizens to be manned by U.S. crews, would count.
New legislation includes any congressional legislation or any executive order, proclamation, memorandum, or other legally-binding executive action which effectively removes one of the listed Jones Act requirements.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government. If official information is unavailable or unclear, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Jones Act is repealed, altered, or invalidated, or new legislation becomes law, such that any of the Jones Act domestic shipping restrictions to vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews are fully removed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A removal of any of the listed domestic shipping requirements will count. For example, the removal of the domestic shipping requirements for ships to be built in and flagged to the U.S., without the removal of the requirements for those ships to be owned by U.S. citizens to be manned by U.S. crews, would count.
New legislation includes any congressional legislation or any executive order, proclamation, memorandum, or other legally-binding executive action which effectively removes one of the listed Jones Act requirements.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government. If official information is unavailable or unclear, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$52,403শেষ তারিখ
Jun 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 9, 2026, 12:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Strong trader consensus against full removal of Jones Act domestic shipping requirements by June 30, 2026, stems from the statute’s deep entrenchment as a century-old protectionist measure that shields U.S. shipyards, maritime unions, and domestic vessel operators from foreign competition. Recent temporary waivers issued in March and extended through August amid Iran-related energy disruptions and elevated fuel prices have eased short-term logistics costs without altering the underlying law, reflecting executive flexibility rather than structural reform. Congressional inaction, combined with vocal industry opposition emphasizing national security and jobs, has kept permanent repeal or broad invalidation off the agenda. The market-implied odds near 99.8% for “No” therefore embed a high base-rate expectation that the status quo will persist through the resolution date, though low-probability tail risks such as an acute supply-chain crisis could theoretically prompt accelerated legislative action.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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