The market on Khamenei social media activity for August 21–28, 2026, shows trader consensus favoring low volume, with the under-5 range priced highest at 57.5 percent. This positioning stems from the established pattern of infrequent official posts by the Supreme Leader’s account following the March 2026 leadership transition, where Mojtaba Khamenei’s @MKhamenei_ir channel issues targeted statements on appointments, regional policy, and resistance themes rather than daily commentary. Recent activity around August 10 included several announcements on IRGC command changes, yet overall cadence remains limited absent major escalations or summits. Multiple mid-range buckets trading near 20 percent each reflect uncertainty over any late-August diplomatic or security developments that could prompt additional messaging, while higher-volume outcomes stay discounted given historical base rates for the account.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডKhamenei # posts August 21 - August 28, 2026?
Khamenei # posts August 21 - August 28, 2026?
<5 57%
40-44 39%
45-49 39%
50-54 39%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 28, 2026
<5
57%
5-9
23%
10-14
21%
15-19
21%
20-24
21%
25-29
20%
30-34
20%
35-39
20%
40-44
39%
45-49
39%
50-54
39%
55-59
39%
60+
34%
<5 57%
40-44 39%
45-49 39%
50-54 39%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 28, 2026
<5
$15 Vol.
57%
5-9
$0 Vol.
23%
10-14
$0 Vol.
21%
15-19
$0 Vol.
21%
20-24
$0 Vol.
21%
25-29
$0 Vol.
20%
30-34
$0 Vol.
20%
35-39
$0 Vol.
20%
40-44
$5 Vol.
39%
45-49
$5 Vol.
39%
50-54
$5 Vol.
39%
55-59
$5 Vol.
39%
60+
$5 Vol.
34%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The market on Khamenei social media activity for August 21–28, 2026, shows trader consensus favoring low volume, with the under-5 range priced highest at 57.5 percent. This positioning stems from the established pattern of infrequent official posts by the Supreme Leader’s account following the March 2026 leadership transition, where Mojtaba Khamenei’s @MKhamenei_ir channel issues targeted statements on appointments, regional policy, and resistance themes rather than daily commentary. Recent activity around August 10 included several announcements on IRGC command changes, yet overall cadence remains limited absent major escalations or summits. Multiple mid-range buckets trading near 20 percent each reflect uncertainty over any late-August diplomatic or security developments that could prompt additional messaging, while higher-volume outcomes stay discounted given historical base rates for the account.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
ভলিউম
$40শেষ তারিখ
Aug 28, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The market on Khamenei social media activity for August 21–28, 2026, shows trader consensus favoring low volume, with the under-5 range priced highest at 57.5 percent. This positioning stems from the established pattern of infrequent official posts by the Supreme Leader’s account following the March 2026 leadership transition, where Mojtaba Khamenei’s @MKhamenei_ir channel issues targeted statements on appointments, regional policy, and resistance themes rather than daily commentary. Recent activity around August 10 included several announcements on IRGC command changes, yet overall cadence remains limited absent major escalations or summits. Multiple mid-range buckets trading near 20 percent each reflect uncertainty over any late-August diplomatic or security developments that could prompt additional messaging, while higher-volume outcomes stay discounted given historical base rates for the account.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
ভলিউম
$40শেষ তারিখ
Aug 28, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market on Khamenei social media activity for August 21–28, 2026, shows trader consensus favoring low volume, with the under-5 range priced highest at 57.5 percent. This positioning stems from the established pattern of infrequent official posts by the Supreme Leader’s account following the March 2026 leadership transition, where Mojtaba Khamenei’s @MKhamenei_ir channel issues targeted statements on appointments, regional policy, and resistance themes rather than daily commentary. Recent activity around August 10 included several announcements on IRGC command changes, yet overall cadence remains limited absent major escalations or summits. Multiple mid-range buckets trading near 20 percent each reflect uncertainty over any late-August diplomatic or security developments that could prompt additional messaging, while higher-volume outcomes stay discounted given historical base rates for the account.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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