Recent cold air advection from the north and an associated rainfall episode centered on September 8–10 are the dominant drivers of trader positioning for Chengdu’s September 9 overnight low. Official guidance highlights a 5–7 °C drop in daily averages, with northerly winds, widespread showers or thunderstorms, and elevated humidity expected to suppress daytime heating while enhancing nocturnal cooling through cloud cover and evaporative effects. Forecast lows cluster near 18–21 °C across multiple model runs, yet modest differences in the timing and intensity of the frontal passage create spread that supports roughly equal market-implied odds on sub-16 °C versus 26 °C-plus outcomes. Historical September climatology shows typical overnight minima near 20 °C, underscoring how the current synoptic setup deviates from baseline and injects genuine forecast uncertainty into the final 48 hours before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
16°C or below 99%
26°C or higher 98%
21°C 50%
17°C 49%
16°C or below
99%
17°C
49%
18°C
49%
19°C
49%
20°C
49%
21°C
50%
22°C
49%
23°C
49%
24°C
49%
25°C
49%
26°C or higher
98%
16°C or below 99%
26°C or higher 98%
21°C 50%
17°C 49%
16°C or below
99%
17°C
49%
18°C
49%
19°C
49%
20°C
49%
21°C
50%
22°C
49%
23°C
49%
24°C
49%
25°C
49%
26°C or higher
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent cold air advection from the north and an associated rainfall episode centered on September 8–10 are the dominant drivers of trader positioning for Chengdu’s September 9 overnight low. Official guidance highlights a 5–7 °C drop in daily averages, with northerly winds, widespread showers or thunderstorms, and elevated humidity expected to suppress daytime heating while enhancing nocturnal cooling through cloud cover and evaporative effects. Forecast lows cluster near 18–21 °C across multiple model runs, yet modest differences in the timing and intensity of the frontal passage create spread that supports roughly equal market-implied odds on sub-16 °C versus 26 °C-plus outcomes. Historical September climatology shows typical overnight minima near 20 °C, underscoring how the current synoptic setup deviates from baseline and injects genuine forecast uncertainty into the final 48 hours before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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