Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 5–7°C for London's lowest temperature on May 15, driven by the latest Met Office forecast for Heathrow—the probable measurement site—showing an overnight minimum of 6–7°C amid cloudy skies and light northerly breezes, with BBC Weather aligning at 6°C low. This below-average outlook (typical mid-May lows ~9°C) stems from recent cool air advection following light showers on May 14, limiting daytime highs to 14–15°C and curbing daytime warming. Differentiating factors include model spread in ECMWF and GFS ensembles on overnight cloud cover and wind minima, where thinner clouds could enable radiational cooling to 5°C, while persistent overcast favors 7°C or higher. New forecast updates expected this afternoon from the Met Office may refine probabilities amid inherent short-range uncertainty.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in London on May 15?
Lowest temperature in London on May 15?
6°C 34%
7°C 27%
8°C 12%
4°C 10.0%
নতুন
নতুন
May 15, 2026
-1°C or below
<1%
0°C
<1%
1°C
<1%
2°C
1%
3°C
1%
4°C
10%
5°C
8%
6°C
34%
7°C
28%
8°C
12%
9°C or higher
1%
6°C 34%
7°C 27%
8°C 12%
4°C 10.0%
নতুন
নতুন
May 15, 2026
-1°C or below
$668 Vol.
<1%
0°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
1°C
$21 Vol.
<1%
2°C
$21 Vol.
1%
3°C
$218 Vol.
1%
4°C
$24 Vol.
10%
5°C
$176 Vol.
8%
6°C
$26 Vol.
34%
7°C
$49 Vol.
28%
8°C
$97 Vol.
12%
9°C or higher
$794 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 5–7°C for London's lowest temperature on May 15, driven by the latest Met Office forecast for Heathrow—the probable measurement site—showing an overnight minimum of 6–7°C amid cloudy skies and light northerly breezes, with BBC Weather aligning at 6°C low. This below-average outlook (typical mid-May lows ~9°C) stems from recent cool air advection following light showers on May 14, limiting daytime highs to 14–15°C and curbing daytime warming. Differentiating factors include model spread in ECMWF and GFS ensembles on overnight cloud cover and wind minima, where thinner clouds could enable radiational cooling to 5°C, while persistent overcast favors 7°C or higher. New forecast updates expected this afternoon from the Met Office may refine probabilities amid inherent short-range uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 11, 2026, 7:06 PM ET
ভলিউম
$2,104শেষ তারিখ
May 15, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 11, 2026, 7:06 PM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 5–7°C for London's lowest temperature on May 15, driven by the latest Met Office forecast for Heathrow—the probable measurement site—showing an overnight minimum of 6–7°C amid cloudy skies and light northerly breezes, with BBC Weather aligning at 6°C low. This below-average outlook (typical mid-May lows ~9°C) stems from recent cool air advection following light showers on May 14, limiting daytime highs to 14–15°C and curbing daytime warming. Differentiating factors include model spread in ECMWF and GFS ensembles on overnight cloud cover and wind minima, where thinner clouds could enable radiational cooling to 5°C, while persistent overcast favors 7°C or higher. New forecast updates expected this afternoon from the Met Office may refine probabilities amid inherent short-range uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$2,104শেষ তারিখ
May 15, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 11, 2026, 7:06 PM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 5–7°C for London's lowest temperature on May 15, driven by the latest Met Office forecast for Heathrow—the probable measurement site—showing an overnight minimum of 6–7°C amid cloudy skies and light northerly breezes, with BBC Weather aligning at 6°C low. This below-average outlook (typical mid-May lows ~9°C) stems from recent cool air advection following light showers on May 14, limiting daytime highs to 14–15°C and curbing daytime warming. Differentiating factors include model spread in ECMWF and GFS ensembles on overnight cloud cover and wind minima, where thinner clouds could enable radiational cooling to 5°C, while persistent overcast favors 7°C or higher. New forecast updates expected this afternoon from the Met Office may refine probabilities amid inherent short-range uncertainty.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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