Latest Météo-France and ECMWF model runs point to a minimum temperature of 19–20°C in Paris on August 5, driven by a lingering high-pressure ridge and southerly warm-air advection that has suppressed overnight radiative cooling after several days of above-average heat. This setup favors mild lows well above the long-term August climatological average of ~15°C, with limited nocturnal cloud cover or moisture allowing only modest temperature drops under clear skies. The near-even split between the 20°C and 19°C market outcomes reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects, which official Paris observations will resolve. Updated model guidance expected overnight will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Paris on August 5?
20°C 59%
19°C 34%
18°C 6%
17°C 3%
$11,734 Vol.
$11,734 Vol.
16°C or below
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
6%
19°C
32%
20°C
48%
21°C
2%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
20°C 59%
19°C 34%
18°C 6%
17°C 3%
$11,734 Vol.
$11,734 Vol.
16°C or below
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
6%
19°C
32%
20°C
48%
21°C
2%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Météo-France and ECMWF model runs point to a minimum temperature of 19–20°C in Paris on August 5, driven by a lingering high-pressure ridge and southerly warm-air advection that has suppressed overnight radiative cooling after several days of above-average heat. This setup favors mild lows well above the long-term August climatological average of ~15°C, with limited nocturnal cloud cover or moisture allowing only modest temperature drops under clear skies. The near-even split between the 20°C and 19°C market outcomes reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects, which official Paris observations will resolve. Updated model guidance expected overnight will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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