Recent passage of a cold front over São Paulo state has advected cooler polar maritime air, lowering overnight minima into the low teens Celsius ahead of August 24. Model consensus from sources such as ECMWF, GFS, and local agencies shows overnight lows ranging 10–15 °C under variable cloud cover and southeasterly winds of 10–18 km/h, with urban heat-island effects and high humidity limiting radiative cooling. This spread in guidance—some runs favoring stronger advection and clearer skies for sub-13 °C readings, others retaining more cloud and milder advection—explains the near-even market-implied odds between sub-10 °C and 19 °C+ outcomes. Official minimum-temperature updates from INMET or CGE São Paulo on the morning of the 24th will likely resolve remaining uncertainty before market close.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 24?
19°C or higher 76%
18°C 44%
13°C 34%
9°C or below 33%
9°C or below
33%
10°C
25%
11°C
24%
12°C
26%
13°C
34%
14°C
32%
15°C
28%
16°C
23%
17°C
22%
18°C
44%
19°C or higher
76%
19°C or higher 76%
18°C 44%
13°C 34%
9°C or below 33%
9°C or below
33%
10°C
25%
11°C
24%
12°C
26%
13°C
34%
14°C
32%
15°C
28%
16°C
23%
17°C
22%
18°C
44%
19°C or higher
76%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 22, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent passage of a cold front over São Paulo state has advected cooler polar maritime air, lowering overnight minima into the low teens Celsius ahead of August 24. Model consensus from sources such as ECMWF, GFS, and local agencies shows overnight lows ranging 10–15 °C under variable cloud cover and southeasterly winds of 10–18 km/h, with urban heat-island effects and high humidity limiting radiative cooling. This spread in guidance—some runs favoring stronger advection and clearer skies for sub-13 °C readings, others retaining more cloud and milder advection—explains the near-even market-implied odds between sub-10 °C and 19 °C+ outcomes. Official minimum-temperature updates from INMET or CGE São Paulo on the morning of the 24th will likely resolve remaining uncertainty before market close.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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