**Incumbent Rep. Jim McGovern's April 30 announcement seeking a 16th term has reinforced trader consensus favoring Democrats at 92.5% in Massachusetts' 2nd Congressional District, a solidly Democratic seat with a D+13 Cook Partisan Voting Index.** McGovern secured 68.6% in the 2024 general election against minimal opposition, continuing a pattern of double-digit margins in this central Massachusetts district where Kamala Harris captured 61% of the presidential vote. No Republican primary candidates have filed as of mid-May, with nomination deadlines approaching June 2 ahead of the September 1 primaries. While a credible GOP challenger, Democratic primary upset, major scandal, or national Republican midterm wave could narrow the gap, current pricing reflects the incumbent's fundraising strength ($263,000 cash on hand) and the district's entrenched partisan leanings.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডMA-02 House Election Winner
MA-02 House Election Winner
$29,916 Vol.
$29,916 Vol.
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
$29,916 Vol.
$29,916 Vol.
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Incumbent Rep. Jim McGovern's April 30 announcement seeking a 16th term has reinforced trader consensus favoring Democrats at 92.5% in Massachusetts' 2nd Congressional District, a solidly Democratic seat with a D+13 Cook Partisan Voting Index.** McGovern secured 68.6% in the 2024 general election against minimal opposition, continuing a pattern of double-digit margins in this central Massachusetts district where Kamala Harris captured 61% of the presidential vote. No Republican primary candidates have filed as of mid-May, with nomination deadlines approaching June 2 ahead of the September 1 primaries. While a credible GOP challenger, Democratic primary upset, major scandal, or national Republican midterm wave could narrow the gap, current pricing reflects the incumbent's fundraising strength ($263,000 cash on hand) and the district's entrenched partisan leanings.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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