Recent polling aggregates ahead of the November 7, 2026, New Zealand general election show National and Labour clustered near 30 percent each, setting up a contest for third place among smaller parties. New Zealand First has held steady in the 8–11 percent range in most August surveys, supported by its established voter base and history of late-campaign gains under proportional representation. The Greens poll slightly higher in some samples but have shown more volatility. ACT remains competitive near 8 percent while the emerging Opportunity party has surged into the same band, fragmenting the minor-party vote. Traders price New Zealand First as the consensus favorite for third based on these seat-projection patterns and the five-percent threshold dynamics.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডNew Zealand Election: 3rd Place
New Zealand Election: 3rd Place
New Zealand First Party 53%
Green Party 37%
ACT New Zealand 1.6%
National Party 1.2%
$13,171 Vol.
$13,171 Vol.
Nov 7, 2026
New Zealand First Party
53%
Green Party
37%
ACT New Zealand
2%
National Party
1%
Te Pāti Māori
<1%
Labour Party
<1%
New Zealand First Party 53%
Green Party 37%
ACT New Zealand 1.6%
National Party 1.2%
$13,171 Vol.
$13,171 Vol.
Nov 7, 2026
New Zealand First Party
$4,935 Vol.
53%
Green Party
$5,280 Vol.
37%
ACT New Zealand
$702 Vol.
2%
National Party
$415 Vol.
1%
Te Pāti Māori
$774 Vol.
<1%
Labour Party
$1,065 Vol.
<1%
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling aggregates ahead of the November 7, 2026, New Zealand general election show National and Labour clustered near 30 percent each, setting up a contest for third place among smaller parties. New Zealand First has held steady in the 8–11 percent range in most August surveys, supported by its established voter base and history of late-campaign gains under proportional representation. The Greens poll slightly higher in some samples but have shown more volatility. ACT remains competitive near 8 percent while the emerging Opportunity party has surged into the same band, fragmenting the minor-party vote. Traders price New Zealand First as the consensus favorite for third based on these seat-projection patterns and the five-percent threshold dynamics.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
ভলিউম
$13,171শেষ তারিখ
Nov 7, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling aggregates ahead of the November 7, 2026, New Zealand general election show National and Labour clustered near 30 percent each, setting up a contest for third place among smaller parties. New Zealand First has held steady in the 8–11 percent range in most August surveys, supported by its established voter base and history of late-campaign gains under proportional representation. The Greens poll slightly higher in some samples but have shown more volatility. ACT remains competitive near 8 percent while the emerging Opportunity party has surged into the same band, fragmenting the minor-party vote. Traders price New Zealand First as the consensus favorite for third based on these seat-projection patterns and the five-percent threshold dynamics.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
ভলিউম
$13,171শেষ তারিখ
Nov 7, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling aggregates ahead of the November 7, 2026, New Zealand general election show National and Labour clustered near 30 percent each, setting up a contest for third place among smaller parties. New Zealand First has held steady in the 8–11 percent range in most August surveys, supported by its established voter base and history of late-campaign gains under proportional representation. The Greens poll slightly higher in some samples but have shown more volatility. ACT remains competitive near 8 percent while the emerging Opportunity party has surged into the same band, fragmenting the minor-party vote. Traders price New Zealand First as the consensus favorite for third based on these seat-projection patterns and the five-percent threshold dynamics.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডসম্পর্কিত
Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
53%
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
55%
Will the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
34%
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