Rafael López Aliaga leads the Lima mayoral market at 75.3% because his Renovación Popular list holds a clear edge in recent September 2026 polls (typically 20-32% support), far ahead of fragmented rivals such as Carlos Bruce (Somos Perú), Francis Allison (Avanza País), and Daniel Urresti (Podemos Perú). The original mayoral candidate Luis Rubio resigned in early August, leaving López Aliaga as first regidor on the ticket; legal experts and ongoing JNE review indicate the Organic Law of Municipalities would allow him to assume the post automatically if the list wins on October 4. Traders weigh this structural path against term-limit challenges and debate scheduling, viewing the incumbent’s name recognition and party base in the capital as decisive factors over the remaining field.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডRafael López Aliaga 75.0%
Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca 20.8%
Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli 3.4%
Francis James Allison Oyague 2.2%
$152,176 Vol.
$152,176 Vol.
Rafael López Aliaga
75%
Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca
21%
Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli
3%
Francis James Allison Oyague
2%
Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera
2%
Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué
<1%
Rubén José Ramírez Mateo
<1%
Yehude Simón Munaro
<1%
Santiago Rosendo Abarca León
<1%
Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo
<1%
Luis Alberto Huette Tolentino
<1%
Edgardo Renán De Pomar Vizcarra
<1%
Sandro Caller Gutiérrez
<1%
Jessica Viviana Linares Romero
<1%
Elizabeth María del Rosario León Chinchay
<1%
Victoria Betzabé La Cruz Garcés
<1%
Flor de María Hurtado Valdez
<1%
Oswaldo Hernán Vargas Cuéllar
<1%
Rubén Daniel Bonilla Espinoza
<1%
Samuel Marcos Daza Taype
<1%
Segundo Valdez Zavala
<1%
Samir Frank Quispe Caballero
<1%
Carlos Alberto Tejada Noriega
<1%
Rafael López Aliaga 75.0%
Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca 20.8%
Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli 3.4%
Francis James Allison Oyague 2.2%
$152,176 Vol.
$152,176 Vol.
Rafael López Aliaga
75%
Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca
21%
Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli
3%
Francis James Allison Oyague
2%
Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera
2%
Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué
<1%
Rubén José Ramírez Mateo
<1%
Yehude Simón Munaro
<1%
Santiago Rosendo Abarca León
<1%
Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo
<1%
Luis Alberto Huette Tolentino
<1%
Edgardo Renán De Pomar Vizcarra
<1%
Sandro Caller Gutiérrez
<1%
Jessica Viviana Linares Romero
<1%
Elizabeth María del Rosario León Chinchay
<1%
Victoria Betzabé La Cruz Garcés
<1%
Flor de María Hurtado Valdez
<1%
Oswaldo Hernán Vargas Cuéllar
<1%
Rubén Daniel Bonilla Espinoza
<1%
Samuel Marcos Daza Taype
<1%
Segundo Valdez Zavala
<1%
Samir Frank Quispe Caballero
<1%
Carlos Alberto Tejada Noriega
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 24, 2026, 11:54 AM ET
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Rafael López Aliaga leads the Lima mayoral market at 75.3% because his Renovación Popular list holds a clear edge in recent September 2026 polls (typically 20-32% support), far ahead of fragmented rivals such as Carlos Bruce (Somos Perú), Francis Allison (Avanza País), and Daniel Urresti (Podemos Perú). The original mayoral candidate Luis Rubio resigned in early August, leaving López Aliaga as first regidor on the ticket; legal experts and ongoing JNE review indicate the Organic Law of Municipalities would allow him to assume the post automatically if the list wins on October 4. Traders weigh this structural path against term-limit challenges and debate scheduling, viewing the incumbent’s name recognition and party base in the capital as decisive factors over the remaining field.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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