New York's 12th congressional district, with its D+34 Cook Partisan Voting Index encompassing Manhattan's Upper West and East Sides, overwhelmingly favors Democrats in the November 3, 2026, general election, driving trader consensus to 93.5% for a Democratic Party victory. Longtime incumbent Jerry Nadler's September 2025 retirement opened the seat, sparking a crowded Democratic primary on June 23 featuring contenders like Jack Schlossberg, Micah Lasher, and Alex Bores, but the absence of credible Republican challengers reinforces the baseline expectation of lopsided Democratic dominance, as seen in prior cycles with 70-80% vote shares. Recent primary polls, including New York Times surveys, highlight intra-party competition without altering general election dynamics. Scenarios that could challenge this include a post-primary scandal or indictment against the Democratic nominee, an unexpected national Republican midterm wave, or health issues sidelining the frontrunner.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডNY-12 House Election Winner
NY-12 House Election Winner
$17,171 Vol.
$17,171 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$17,171 Vol.
$17,171 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$14,681 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$2,490 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York's 12th congressional district, with its D+34 Cook Partisan Voting Index encompassing Manhattan's Upper West and East Sides, overwhelmingly favors Democrats in the November 3, 2026, general election, driving trader consensus to 93.5% for a Democratic Party victory. Longtime incumbent Jerry Nadler's September 2025 retirement opened the seat, sparking a crowded Democratic primary on June 23 featuring contenders like Jack Schlossberg, Micah Lasher, and Alex Bores, but the absence of credible Republican challengers reinforces the baseline expectation of lopsided Democratic dominance, as seen in prior cycles with 70-80% vote shares. Recent primary polls, including New York Times surveys, highlight intra-party competition without altering general election dynamics. Scenarios that could challenge this include a post-primary scandal or indictment against the Democratic nominee, an unexpected national Republican midterm wave, or health issues sidelining the frontrunner.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ভলিউম
$17,171শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York's 12th congressional district, with its D+34 Cook Partisan Voting Index encompassing Manhattan's Upper West and East Sides, overwhelmingly favors Democrats in the November 3, 2026, general election, driving trader consensus to 93.5% for a Democratic Party victory. Longtime incumbent Jerry Nadler's September 2025 retirement opened the seat, sparking a crowded Democratic primary on June 23 featuring contenders like Jack Schlossberg, Micah Lasher, and Alex Bores, but the absence of credible Republican challengers reinforces the baseline expectation of lopsided Democratic dominance, as seen in prior cycles with 70-80% vote shares. Recent primary polls, including New York Times surveys, highlight intra-party competition without altering general election dynamics. Scenarios that could challenge this include a post-primary scandal or indictment against the Democratic nominee, an unexpected national Republican midterm wave, or health issues sidelining the frontrunner.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$17,171শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York's 12th congressional district, with its D+34 Cook Partisan Voting Index encompassing Manhattan's Upper West and East Sides, overwhelmingly favors Democrats in the November 3, 2026, general election, driving trader consensus to 93.5% for a Democratic Party victory. Longtime incumbent Jerry Nadler's September 2025 retirement opened the seat, sparking a crowded Democratic primary on June 23 featuring contenders like Jack Schlossberg, Micah Lasher, and Alex Bores, but the absence of credible Republican challengers reinforces the baseline expectation of lopsided Democratic dominance, as seen in prior cycles with 70-80% vote shares. Recent primary polls, including New York Times surveys, highlight intra-party competition without altering general election dynamics. Scenarios that could challenge this include a post-primary scandal or indictment against the Democratic nominee, an unexpected national Republican midterm wave, or health issues sidelining the frontrunner.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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