Incumbent Rep. Jamie Raskin's commanding trader consensus in the MD-08 House race stems from the district's deep Democratic lean, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+30, ensuring large general election margins historically. Raskin, seeking a sixth term after decisively defeating Republican Cheryl Riley in 2024, filed for reelection in February 2026 amid a low-profile Democratic primary on June 23 featuring minor challengers like J.D. Kumar. Riley, the likely GOP nominee, remains active but faces steep structural barriers in this Montgomery County-heavy battleground. Odds at 93.5% Democratic reflect skin-in-the-game assessments of incumbency advantage and base turnout reliability ahead of the November 3 general election. Realistic shifts would require Raskin's withdrawal, a major scandal, health issue, or extraordinary national Republican midterm wave.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডMD-08 House Election Winner
MD-08 House Election Winner
$14,356 Vol.
$14,356 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
$14,356 Vol.
$14,356 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,416 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$7,939 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Jamie Raskin's commanding trader consensus in the MD-08 House race stems from the district's deep Democratic lean, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+30, ensuring large general election margins historically. Raskin, seeking a sixth term after decisively defeating Republican Cheryl Riley in 2024, filed for reelection in February 2026 amid a low-profile Democratic primary on June 23 featuring minor challengers like J.D. Kumar. Riley, the likely GOP nominee, remains active but faces steep structural barriers in this Montgomery County-heavy battleground. Odds at 93.5% Democratic reflect skin-in-the-game assessments of incumbency advantage and base turnout reliability ahead of the November 3 general election. Realistic shifts would require Raskin's withdrawal, a major scandal, health issue, or extraordinary national Republican midterm wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ভলিউম
$14,356শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Jamie Raskin's commanding trader consensus in the MD-08 House race stems from the district's deep Democratic lean, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+30, ensuring large general election margins historically. Raskin, seeking a sixth term after decisively defeating Republican Cheryl Riley in 2024, filed for reelection in February 2026 amid a low-profile Democratic primary on June 23 featuring minor challengers like J.D. Kumar. Riley, the likely GOP nominee, remains active but faces steep structural barriers in this Montgomery County-heavy battleground. Odds at 93.5% Democratic reflect skin-in-the-game assessments of incumbency advantage and base turnout reliability ahead of the November 3 general election. Realistic shifts would require Raskin's withdrawal, a major scandal, health issue, or extraordinary national Republican midterm wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$14,356শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Jamie Raskin's commanding trader consensus in the MD-08 House race stems from the district's deep Democratic lean, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+30, ensuring large general election margins historically. Raskin, seeking a sixth term after decisively defeating Republican Cheryl Riley in 2024, filed for reelection in February 2026 amid a low-profile Democratic primary on June 23 featuring minor challengers like J.D. Kumar. Riley, the likely GOP nominee, remains active but faces steep structural barriers in this Montgomery County-heavy battleground. Odds at 93.5% Democratic reflect skin-in-the-game assessments of incumbency advantage and base turnout reliability ahead of the November 3 general election. Realistic shifts would require Raskin's withdrawal, a major scandal, health issue, or extraordinary national Republican midterm wave.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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