The Democratic Party of Korea holds a commanding position in the June 3, 2026, National Assembly by-elections because it enters as the ruling party under President Lee Jae-myung, with recent nationwide polls showing its support at 45-50 percent against the People Power Party’s roughly 30 percent. Many of the 14 contested seats were vacated by lawmakers shifting to concurrent local races in districts the Democratic Party already carried in the prior general election, giving it structural incumbency edges and favorable voter demographics. Traders price a 10-plus seat outcome at 73.9 percent because these factors have produced consistent leads without major countervailing events in the past month, though turnout fluctuations or competitive races such as the high-profile Busan contest could still compress the margin toward the secondary 8-9 seat band at 24.5 percent.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড# of seats won by DP in South Korea by-elections?
# of seats won by DP in South Korea by-elections?
10+ 74.2%
8-9 33.1%
2-3 <1%
0-1 <1%
$34,505 Vol.
$34,505 Vol.
Jun 3, 2026
0-1
<1%
2-3
<1%
4-5
<1%
6-7
<1%
8-9
23%
10+
74%
10+ 74.2%
8-9 33.1%
2-3 <1%
0-1 <1%
$34,505 Vol.
$34,505 Vol.
Jun 3, 2026
0-1
$3,928 Vol.
<1%
2-3
$5,328 Vol.
<1%
4-5
$3,763 Vol.
<1%
6-7
$3,754 Vol.
<1%
8-9
$4,373 Vol.
23%
10+
$13,359 Vol.
74%
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.The Democratic Party of Korea holds a commanding position in the June 3, 2026, National Assembly by-elections because it enters as the ruling party under President Lee Jae-myung, with recent nationwide polls showing its support at 45-50 percent against the People Power Party’s roughly 30 percent. Many of the 14 contested seats were vacated by lawmakers shifting to concurrent local races in districts the Democratic Party already carried in the prior general election, giving it structural incumbency edges and favorable voter demographics. Traders price a 10-plus seat outcome at 73.9 percent because these factors have produced consistent leads without major countervailing events in the past month, though turnout fluctuations or competitive races such as the high-profile Busan contest could still compress the margin toward the secondary 8-9 seat band at 24.5 percent.
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Feb 12, 2026, 4:13 PM ET
ভলিউম
$34,505শেষ তারিখ
Jun 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Feb 12, 2026, 4:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.The Democratic Party of Korea holds a commanding position in the June 3, 2026, National Assembly by-elections because it enters as the ruling party under President Lee Jae-myung, with recent nationwide polls showing its support at 45-50 percent against the People Power Party’s roughly 30 percent. Many of the 14 contested seats were vacated by lawmakers shifting to concurrent local races in districts the Democratic Party already carried in the prior general election, giving it structural incumbency edges and favorable voter demographics. Traders price a 10-plus seat outcome at 73.9 percent because these factors have produced consistent leads without major countervailing events in the past month, though turnout fluctuations or competitive races such as the high-profile Busan contest could still compress the margin toward the secondary 8-9 seat band at 24.5 percent.
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
ভলিউম
$34,505শেষ তারিখ
Jun 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Feb 12, 2026, 4:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic Party of Korea holds a commanding position in the June 3, 2026, National Assembly by-elections because it enters as the ruling party under President Lee Jae-myung, with recent nationwide polls showing its support at 45-50 percent against the People Power Party’s roughly 30 percent. Many of the 14 contested seats were vacated by lawmakers shifting to concurrent local races in districts the Democratic Party already carried in the prior general election, giving it structural incumbency edges and favorable voter demographics. Traders price a 10-plus seat outcome at 73.9 percent because these factors have produced consistent leads without major countervailing events in the past month, though turnout fluctuations or competitive races such as the high-profile Busan contest could still compress the margin toward the secondary 8-9 seat band at 24.5 percent.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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