OpenAI’s chief financial officer has publicly flagged the company’s fourth-quarter 2026 IPO target as too aggressive, citing the need for additional organizational and procedural work ahead of a public listing, while CEO Sam Altman continues to favor an earlier debut. Recent reporting highlights mounting cash burn—projected at $14 billion this year alone—alongside missed internal revenue and user-growth targets that have prompted analysts at PitchBook to shift their base case to mid-to-late 2027. These headwinds, combined with ongoing legal friction and the absence of any SEC filing, have driven trader consensus toward the 67.5% probability of no IPO by year-end 2026. The market is also watching competitive positioning against Anthropic and the company’s ability to sustain its large-language-model development pipeline without further dilution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডওপেনএআই আইপিও ক্লোজিং মার্কেট ক্যাপ
৩১ ডিসেম্বর, ২০২৬-এর মধ্যে আইপিও নয় 68%
১.৫ ট্রিলিয়ন+ 8.8%
১.২৫টি–১.৫টি 3.7%
৫০০–৭৫০বি 3.5%
$1,638,863 Vol.
$1,638,863 Vol.
<৫০০বি
1%
৫০০–৭৫০বি
3%
৭৫০বি–১টি
2%
১টি–১.২৫টি
3%
১.২৫টি–১.৫টি
4%
১.৫ ট্রিলিয়ন+
9%
৩১ ডিসেম্বর, ২০২৬-এর মধ্যে আইপিও নয়
68%
৩১ ডিসেম্বর, ২০২৬-এর মধ্যে আইপিও নয় 68%
১.৫ ট্রিলিয়ন+ 8.8%
১.২৫টি–১.৫টি 3.7%
৫০০–৭৫০বি 3.5%
$1,638,863 Vol.
$1,638,863 Vol.
<৫০০বি
1%
৫০০–৭৫০বি
3%
৭৫০বি–১টি
2%
১টি–১.২৫টি
3%
১.২৫টি–১.৫টি
4%
১.৫ ট্রিলিয়ন+
9%
৩১ ডিসেম্বর, ২০২৬-এর মধ্যে আইপিও নয়
68%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...OpenAI’s chief financial officer has publicly flagged the company’s fourth-quarter 2026 IPO target as too aggressive, citing the need for additional organizational and procedural work ahead of a public listing, while CEO Sam Altman continues to favor an earlier debut. Recent reporting highlights mounting cash burn—projected at $14 billion this year alone—alongside missed internal revenue and user-growth targets that have prompted analysts at PitchBook to shift their base case to mid-to-late 2027. These headwinds, combined with ongoing legal friction and the absence of any SEC filing, have driven trader consensus toward the 67.5% probability of no IPO by year-end 2026. The market is also watching competitive positioning against Anthropic and the company’s ability to sustain its large-language-model development pipeline without further dilution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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