In Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District, a deep-blue seat with Cook PVI D+40 where Kamala Harris won 88% in 2024, trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 93.5% implied probability for the November 3 general election winner. Longtime incumbent Dwight Evans's retirement created an open race, but no Republicans qualified for the May 19 primary ballot, leaving the district without a GOP nominee and ensuring the Democratic primary victor—likely from among frontrunners state Sen. Sharif Street, Rep. Chris Rabb, or Dr. Ala Stanford—faces negligible opposition. Recent debates over Gaza policy and fundraising have intensified the Democratic primary, yet the absence of a Republican challenger solidifies the hold. Scenarios like a viable GOP write-in surge, post-primary scandal, or extraordinary national midterm wave could challenge this, though historical precedents in such districts are rare.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডPA-03 House Election Winner
PA-03 House Election Winner
$13,793 Vol.
$13,793 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$13,793 Vol.
$13,793 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$7,891 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$5,902 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District, a deep-blue seat with Cook PVI D+40 where Kamala Harris won 88% in 2024, trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 93.5% implied probability for the November 3 general election winner. Longtime incumbent Dwight Evans's retirement created an open race, but no Republicans qualified for the May 19 primary ballot, leaving the district without a GOP nominee and ensuring the Democratic primary victor—likely from among frontrunners state Sen. Sharif Street, Rep. Chris Rabb, or Dr. Ala Stanford—faces negligible opposition. Recent debates over Gaza policy and fundraising have intensified the Democratic primary, yet the absence of a Republican challenger solidifies the hold. Scenarios like a viable GOP write-in surge, post-primary scandal, or extraordinary national midterm wave could challenge this, though historical precedents in such districts are rare.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ভলিউম
$13,793শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District, a deep-blue seat with Cook PVI D+40 where Kamala Harris won 88% in 2024, trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 93.5% implied probability for the November 3 general election winner. Longtime incumbent Dwight Evans's retirement created an open race, but no Republicans qualified for the May 19 primary ballot, leaving the district without a GOP nominee and ensuring the Democratic primary victor—likely from among frontrunners state Sen. Sharif Street, Rep. Chris Rabb, or Dr. Ala Stanford—faces negligible opposition. Recent debates over Gaza policy and fundraising have intensified the Democratic primary, yet the absence of a Republican challenger solidifies the hold. Scenarios like a viable GOP write-in surge, post-primary scandal, or extraordinary national midterm wave could challenge this, though historical precedents in such districts are rare.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$13,793শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District, a deep-blue seat with Cook PVI D+40 where Kamala Harris won 88% in 2024, trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 93.5% implied probability for the November 3 general election winner. Longtime incumbent Dwight Evans's retirement created an open race, but no Republicans qualified for the May 19 primary ballot, leaving the district without a GOP nominee and ensuring the Democratic primary victor—likely from among frontrunners state Sen. Sharif Street, Rep. Chris Rabb, or Dr. Ala Stanford—faces negligible opposition. Recent debates over Gaza policy and fundraising have intensified the Democratic primary, yet the absence of a Republican challenger solidifies the hold. Scenarios like a viable GOP write-in surge, post-primary scandal, or extraordinary national midterm wave could challenge this, though historical precedents in such districts are rare.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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