The House Oversight Committee's April 29 announcement scheduling former Attorney General Pam Bondi for a May 29 transcribed interview on the Justice Department's handling of Jeffrey Epstein files represents the primary catalyst for the 66 percent implied probability on a congressional appearance by May 31. Bipartisan committee pressure, including Democratic contempt proceedings earlier in the month, prompted Republican leadership to secure the date after Bondi initially skipped a prior session. With the event only two weeks away and no subsequent cancellations reported, traders view completion before the deadline as the base case, though modest uncertainty persists around last-minute procedural adjustments or venue changes in the ongoing Epstein probe. Historical patterns of committee depositions shifting under partisan negotiations further temper the odds short of full confirmation.