Trader consensus assigns an 88.5% implied probability to Vladimir Putin remaining Russian president through December 31, 2026, reflecting his entrenched constitutional position after the 2024 reelection and 2020 amendments that reset term limits to allow service until 2036. Putin affirmed leadership continuity during the May 9 Victory Day parade in Moscow, where he denounced NATO, justified ongoing military operations in Ukraine, and signaled the conflict nearing resolution on Russian terms amid a brief U.S.-brokered ceasefire. Heightened Kremlin security protocols against internal threats have not signaled weakness, with no verified health concerns, elite fractures, or parliamentary no-confidence moves in the past 30 days. This stability reinforces the market's view that structural barriers and lack of disruptive events make an exit by year-end unlikely.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডপুতিন কি ২০২৬ সালের ৩১ ডিসেম্বরের মধ্যে রাশিয়ার রাষ্ট্রপতি হিসাবে পদত্যাগ করবেন?
হ্যাঁ
$4,270,274 Vol.
$4,270,274 Vol.
হ্যাঁ
$4,270,274 Vol.
$4,270,274 Vol.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
রেজলভার
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
রেজলভার
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Trader consensus assigns an 88.5% implied probability to Vladimir Putin remaining Russian president through December 31, 2026, reflecting his entrenched constitutional position after the 2024 reelection and 2020 amendments that reset term limits to allow service until 2036. Putin affirmed leadership continuity during the May 9 Victory Day parade in Moscow, where he denounced NATO, justified ongoing military operations in Ukraine, and signaled the conflict nearing resolution on Russian terms amid a brief U.S.-brokered ceasefire. Heightened Kremlin security protocols against internal threats have not signaled weakness, with no verified health concerns, elite fractures, or parliamentary no-confidence moves in the past 30 days. This stability reinforces the market's view that structural barriers and lack of disruptive events make an exit by year-end unlikely.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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