International mediation efforts, particularly the Quad framework involving the United States, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE, have centered on a sequenced approach of an initial humanitarian truce followed by a permanent ceasefire and transition to civilian-led governance. Sudanese Armed Forces leadership has conditioned participation on RSF withdrawals from contested urban areas, while the RSF has signaled openness to earlier proposals but continues operations in Darfur and Kordofan. Multiple rounds of talks since late 2025, including Sudanese prime ministerial initiatives and the April 2026 Berlin conference, have failed to produce agreement, amid persistent frontline advances by both sides and severe restrictions on aid access. Ongoing diplomatic pressure from the African Union, UN, and League of Arab States, alongside the scale of displacement and civilian casualties, shapes trader assessments of near-term de-escalation prospects.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডSudan civil war ceasefire by...?
Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?
$119,387 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31, 2026
13%
$119,387 Vol.
December 31, 2026
$14,848 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.International mediation efforts, particularly the Quad framework involving the United States, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE, have centered on a sequenced approach of an initial humanitarian truce followed by a permanent ceasefire and transition to civilian-led governance. Sudanese Armed Forces leadership has conditioned participation on RSF withdrawals from contested urban areas, while the RSF has signaled openness to earlier proposals but continues operations in Darfur and Kordofan. Multiple rounds of talks since late 2025, including Sudanese prime ministerial initiatives and the April 2026 Berlin conference, have failed to produce agreement, amid persistent frontline advances by both sides and severe restrictions on aid access. Ongoing diplomatic pressure from the African Union, UN, and League of Arab States, alongside the scale of displacement and civilian casualties, shapes trader assessments of near-term de-escalation prospects.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ET
ভলিউম
$119,387শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.International mediation efforts, particularly the Quad framework involving the United States, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE, have centered on a sequenced approach of an initial humanitarian truce followed by a permanent ceasefire and transition to civilian-led governance. Sudanese Armed Forces leadership has conditioned participation on RSF withdrawals from contested urban areas, while the RSF has signaled openness to earlier proposals but continues operations in Darfur and Kordofan. Multiple rounds of talks since late 2025, including Sudanese prime ministerial initiatives and the April 2026 Berlin conference, have failed to produce agreement, amid persistent frontline advances by both sides and severe restrictions on aid access. Ongoing diplomatic pressure from the African Union, UN, and League of Arab States, alongside the scale of displacement and civilian casualties, shapes trader assessments of near-term de-escalation prospects.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
ভলিউম
$119,387শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...International mediation efforts, particularly the Quad framework involving the United States, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE, have centered on a sequenced approach of an initial humanitarian truce followed by a permanent ceasefire and transition to civilian-led governance. Sudanese Armed Forces leadership has conditioned participation on RSF withdrawals from contested urban areas, while the RSF has signaled openness to earlier proposals but continues operations in Darfur and Kordofan. Multiple rounds of talks since late 2025, including Sudanese prime ministerial initiatives and the April 2026 Berlin conference, have failed to produce agreement, amid persistent frontline advances by both sides and severe restrictions on aid access. Ongoing diplomatic pressure from the African Union, UN, and League of Arab States, alongside the scale of displacement and civilian casualties, shapes trader assessments of near-term de-escalation prospects.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা