Delcy Rodríguez consolidated her position as Venezuela’s acting president following the U.S. military capture of Nicolás Maduro in early January 2026, with the Supreme Tribunal of Justice issuing a fast-tracked ruling that installed her as interim head of state under continued Chavista institutional control. She has since navigated U.S. oversight on oil-sector reforms, amnesty measures, and military command changes while maintaining loyalty from key regime structures, including the National Assembly and defense ministry that continue to recognize Maduro as the constitutional officeholder. Opposition figures such as María Corina Machado and Edmundo González remain sidelined in exile or limited in influence, with no scheduled elections or successful challenges to the interim arrangement by mid-2026. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing therefore centers on Rodríguez’s continuity through year-end, as the combination of domestic institutional support and external backing has produced no verifiable shift in de facto authority.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডVenezuela de facto leader end of 2026?
Delcy Rodríguez 90%
María Corina Machado 3.0%
Dinorah Figuera 1.9%
Pete Hegseth <1%
$367,934 Vol.
$367,934 Vol.
Delcy Rodríguez
90%
María Corina Machado
3%
Dinorah Figuera
2%
Pete Hegseth
1%
Dan Caine
1%
Marco Rubio
1%
Nicolás Maduro
1%
Edmundo González
1%
No Head of State
<1%
Jorge Rodríguez
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
<1%
Frank Donovan
<1%
Donald Trump
<1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
<1%
Evan Pettus
<1%
Richard Grenell
<1%
Delcy Rodríguez 90%
María Corina Machado 3.0%
Dinorah Figuera 1.9%
Pete Hegseth <1%
$367,934 Vol.
$367,934 Vol.
Delcy Rodríguez
90%
María Corina Machado
3%
Dinorah Figuera
2%
Pete Hegseth
1%
Dan Caine
1%
Marco Rubio
1%
Nicolás Maduro
1%
Edmundo González
1%
No Head of State
<1%
Jorge Rodríguez
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
<1%
Frank Donovan
<1%
Donald Trump
<1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
<1%
Evan Pettus
<1%
Richard Grenell
<1%
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Delcy Rodríguez consolidated her position as Venezuela’s acting president following the U.S. military capture of Nicolás Maduro in early January 2026, with the Supreme Tribunal of Justice issuing a fast-tracked ruling that installed her as interim head of state under continued Chavista institutional control. She has since navigated U.S. oversight on oil-sector reforms, amnesty measures, and military command changes while maintaining loyalty from key regime structures, including the National Assembly and defense ministry that continue to recognize Maduro as the constitutional officeholder. Opposition figures such as María Corina Machado and Edmundo González remain sidelined in exile or limited in influence, with no scheduled elections or successful challenges to the interim arrangement by mid-2026. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing therefore centers on Rodríguez’s continuity through year-end, as the combination of domestic institutional support and external backing has produced no verifiable shift in de facto authority.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড



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