The Trump administration's shift toward direct equity investments in strategic sectors has accelerated since early 2025, with over $20 billion committed across roughly sixteen deals in semiconductors, critical minerals, and defense-related technologies to reduce reliance on foreign supply chains. Notable actions include converting CHIPS Act funding into an approximately 10% stake in Intel, a 15% position in MP Materials via the Department of Defense, and minority stakes in nine quantum-computing firms announced in May 2026. Recent reporting on preliminary talks with AI developers such as OpenAI has introduced new variables that could expand the portfolio further. Trader consensus reflected in current odds favors quantum and defense-adjacent names like Rigetti while assigning lower probabilities to larger tech or legacy industrial firms absent fresh announcements or policy signals through year-end.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$128,468 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Anduril
33%
Boeing
21%
TSMC
16%
OpenAI
37%
Palantir
24%
Nvidia
11%
GlobalFoundries
68%
Lockheed Martin
20%
TikTok US / Bytedance
18%
Freeport-McMoRan
13%
IonQ
18%
Micron
33%
D-Wave
57%
Anthropic
45%
Rigetti
61%
Eli Lilly
6%
Pfizer
12%
Samsung Electronics
11%
SpaceX
21%
Unusual Machines
49%
$128,468 Vol.
Anduril
$39,936 Vol.
33%
Boeing
$7,769 Vol.
21%
TSMC
$9,289 Vol.
16%
OpenAI
$2,577 Vol.
37%
Palantir
$2,147 Vol.
24%
Nvidia
$12,119 Vol.
11%
GlobalFoundries
$4,786 Vol.
68%
Lockheed Martin
$1,491 Vol.
20%
TikTok US / Bytedance
$4,002 Vol.
18%
Freeport-McMoRan
$1,153 Vol.
13%
IonQ
$1,394 Vol.
18%
Micron
$1,106 Vol.
33%
D-Wave
$3,489 Vol.
57%
Anthropic
$1,237 Vol.
45%
Rigetti
$24,031 Vol.
61%
Eli Lilly
$531 Vol.
6%
Pfizer
$3,860 Vol.
12%
Samsung Electronics
$7,538 Vol.
11%
SpaceX
$10 Vol.
21%
Unusual Machines
$3 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g., a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements that do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.The Trump administration's shift toward direct equity investments in strategic sectors has accelerated since early 2025, with over $20 billion committed across roughly sixteen deals in semiconductors, critical minerals, and defense-related technologies to reduce reliance on foreign supply chains. Notable actions include converting CHIPS Act funding into an approximately 10% stake in Intel, a 15% position in MP Materials via the Department of Defense, and minority stakes in nine quantum-computing firms announced in May 2026. Recent reporting on preliminary talks with AI developers such as OpenAI has introduced new variables that could expand the portfolio further. Trader consensus reflected in current odds favors quantum and defense-adjacent names like Rigetti while assigning lower probabilities to larger tech or legacy industrial firms absent fresh announcements or policy signals through year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Feb 3, 2026, 10:38 AM ET
ভলিউম
$128,468শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Feb 3, 2026, 10:38 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g., a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements that do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.The Trump administration's shift toward direct equity investments in strategic sectors has accelerated since early 2025, with over $20 billion committed across roughly sixteen deals in semiconductors, critical minerals, and defense-related technologies to reduce reliance on foreign supply chains. Notable actions include converting CHIPS Act funding into an approximately 10% stake in Intel, a 15% position in MP Materials via the Department of Defense, and minority stakes in nine quantum-computing firms announced in May 2026. Recent reporting on preliminary talks with AI developers such as OpenAI has introduced new variables that could expand the portfolio further. Trader consensus reflected in current odds favors quantum and defense-adjacent names like Rigetti while assigning lower probabilities to larger tech or legacy industrial firms absent fresh announcements or policy signals through year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$128,468শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Feb 3, 2026, 10:38 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Trump administration's shift toward direct equity investments in strategic sectors has accelerated since early 2025, with over $20 billion committed across roughly sixteen deals in semiconductors, critical minerals, and defense-related technologies to reduce reliance on foreign supply chains. Notable actions include converting CHIPS Act funding into an approximately 10% stake in Intel, a 15% position in MP Materials via the Department of Defense, and minority stakes in nine quantum-computing firms announced in May 2026. Recent reporting on preliminary talks with AI developers such as OpenAI has introduced new variables that could expand the portfolio further. Trader consensus reflected in current odds favors quantum and defense-adjacent names like Rigetti while assigning lower probabilities to larger tech or legacy industrial firms absent fresh announcements or policy signals through year-end.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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