The closely matched odds between Micah Lasher and Alex Bores in the June 23 Democratic primary for New York’s 12th congressional district stem from a geographic and endorsement split in the crowded field to replace retiring Representative Jerry Nadler. Lasher, the Upper West Side assembly member backed by Nadler and Governor Kathy Hochul, emphasizes legislative experience and has secured key union support, while Bores, the Upper East Side assembly member, leverages labor endorsements and his record on AI regulation. Recent candidate forums have shown broad agreement on affordability and opposition to Trump administration policies, keeping the race tight as voters weigh establishment ties against fresh approaches. Jack Schlossberg’s early name recognition has not translated into sustained momentum, leaving the outcome dependent on turnout in battleground precincts and any late endorsements or spending shifts before primary day.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডMicah Lasher 45%
Alex Bores 44%
Jack Schlossberg 12%
Cameron Kasky <1%
$363,153 Vol.
$363,153 Vol.
Micah Lasher
45%
Alex Bores
44%
Jack Schlossberg
12%
Cameron Kasky
<1%
Liz Krueger
<1%
Brad Hoylman-Sigal
<1%
Keith Powers
<1%
Erik Bottcher
<1%
Carolyn Maloney
<1%
Gale Brewer
<1%
Brad Lander
<1%
Lina Khan
<1%
Julie Menin
<1%
Chelsea Clinton
<1%
Liam Elkind
<1%
Scott Stringer
<1%
Andrew Cuomo
<1%
Cynthia Nixon
<1%
George Conway
<1%
Micah Lasher 45%
Alex Bores 44%
Jack Schlossberg 12%
Cameron Kasky <1%
$363,153 Vol.
$363,153 Vol.
Micah Lasher
45%
Alex Bores
44%
Jack Schlossberg
12%
Cameron Kasky
<1%
Liz Krueger
<1%
Brad Hoylman-Sigal
<1%
Keith Powers
<1%
Erik Bottcher
<1%
Carolyn Maloney
<1%
Gale Brewer
<1%
Brad Lander
<1%
Lina Khan
<1%
Julie Menin
<1%
Chelsea Clinton
<1%
Liam Elkind
<1%
Scott Stringer
<1%
Andrew Cuomo
<1%
Cynthia Nixon
<1%
George Conway
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Nov 21, 2025, 10:47 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The closely matched odds between Micah Lasher and Alex Bores in the June 23 Democratic primary for New York’s 12th congressional district stem from a geographic and endorsement split in the crowded field to replace retiring Representative Jerry Nadler. Lasher, the Upper West Side assembly member backed by Nadler and Governor Kathy Hochul, emphasizes legislative experience and has secured key union support, while Bores, the Upper East Side assembly member, leverages labor endorsements and his record on AI regulation. Recent candidate forums have shown broad agreement on affordability and opposition to Trump administration policies, keeping the race tight as voters weigh establishment ties against fresh approaches. Jack Schlossberg’s early name recognition has not translated into sustained momentum, leaving the outcome dependent on turnout in battleground precincts and any late endorsements or spending shifts before primary day.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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