**US military action against Venezuela peaked with the January 3, 2026 Operation Absolute Resolve, a targeted raid involving airstrikes on air defenses and special forces that captured Nicolás Maduro and his wife for narco-terrorism charges in New York.** This short operation installed Vice President Delcy Rodríguez as interim leader, triggered a state of emergency, and prompted partial US sanctions relief plus an oil revenue arrangement channeling proceeds through US-controlled accounts. Subsequent developments have emphasized economic pressure and cooperation on oil exports over territorial control or broader occupation. No major new military escalations or ground offensives have occurred in the past five months. Trader sentiment on an invasion market therefore reflects the distinction between the prior limited strike—resolved in some related contracts as engagement—and the higher threshold for an offensive aimed at establishing control over Venezuelan territory. Key variables include the interim government's compliance on drug interdiction and oil sector reforms, any scheduled political transition timelines, and US statements on further enforcement.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
$14,184,252 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
December 31
6%
$14,184,252 Vol.
December 31
$228,243 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between September 6 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025, and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.**US military action against Venezuela peaked with the January 3, 2026 Operation Absolute Resolve, a targeted raid involving airstrikes on air defenses and special forces that captured Nicolás Maduro and his wife for narco-terrorism charges in New York.** This short operation installed Vice President Delcy Rodríguez as interim leader, triggered a state of emergency, and prompted partial US sanctions relief plus an oil revenue arrangement channeling proceeds through US-controlled accounts.
Subsequent developments have emphasized economic pressure and cooperation on oil exports over territorial control or broader occupation. No major new military escalations or ground offensives have occurred in the past five months. Trader sentiment on an invasion market therefore reflects the distinction between the prior limited strike—resolved in some related contracts as engagement—and the higher threshold for an offensive aimed at establishing control over Venezuelan territory. Key variables include the interim government's compliance on drug interdiction and oil sector reforms, any scheduled political transition timelines, and US statements on further enforcement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 4, 2026, 3:18 PM ET
ভলিউম
$14,184,252শেষ তারিখ
Mar 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 4, 2026, 3:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between September 6 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025, and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.**US military action against Venezuela peaked with the January 3, 2026 Operation Absolute Resolve, a targeted raid involving airstrikes on air defenses and special forces that captured Nicolás Maduro and his wife for narco-terrorism charges in New York.** This short operation installed Vice President Delcy Rodríguez as interim leader, triggered a state of emergency, and prompted partial US sanctions relief plus an oil revenue arrangement channeling proceeds through US-controlled accounts.
Subsequent developments have emphasized economic pressure and cooperation on oil exports over territorial control or broader occupation. No major new military escalations or ground offensives have occurred in the past five months. Trader sentiment on an invasion market therefore reflects the distinction between the prior limited strike—resolved in some related contracts as engagement—and the higher threshold for an offensive aimed at establishing control over Venezuelan territory. Key variables include the interim government's compliance on drug interdiction and oil sector reforms, any scheduled political transition timelines, and US statements on further enforcement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
ভলিউম
$14,184,252শেষ তারিখ
Mar 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 4, 2026, 3:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**US military action against Venezuela peaked with the January 3, 2026 Operation Absolute Resolve, a targeted raid involving airstrikes on air defenses and special forces that captured Nicolás Maduro and his wife for narco-terrorism charges in New York.** This short operation installed Vice President Delcy Rodríguez as interim leader, triggered a state of emergency, and prompted partial US sanctions relief plus an oil revenue arrangement channeling proceeds through US-controlled accounts. Subsequent developments have emphasized economic pressure and cooperation on oil exports over territorial control or broader occupation. No major new military escalations or ground offensives have occurred in the past five months. Trader sentiment on an invasion market therefore reflects the distinction between the prior limited strike—resolved in some related contracts as engagement—and the higher threshold for an offensive aimed at establishing control over Venezuelan territory. Key variables include the interim government's compliance on drug interdiction and oil sector reforms, any scheduled political transition timelines, and US statements on further enforcement.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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