**Democratic prospects for regaining House control in the November 2026 midterms represent the central driver behind the 67% trader consensus for impeachment before January 2029.** With Republicans holding a narrow majority today, articles cannot advance without bipartisan support, keeping near-term odds low. A Democratic House would control the agenda, committees, and floor votes, allowing a simple majority to pass articles focused on issues such as immigration enforcement and agency actions. Recent filings, including Rep. Al Green’s August 2026 resolution citing ICE and CBP operations, illustrate ongoing Democratic interest even without immediate prospects of success. Trump has publicly noted that loss of the House would likely trigger proceedings. Senate conviction remains improbable given structural thresholds, but the market prices only House passage. Historical patterns of midterm losses for the president’s party and polling on congressional control reinforce the timeline-dependent pricing.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWill Trump be impeached before his term ends?
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
67% সম্ভাবনা
$94,684 Vol.
$94,684 Vol.
Jan 19, 2029
67% সম্ভাবনা
$94,684 Vol.
$94,684 Vol.
Jan 19, 2029
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.**Democratic prospects for regaining House control in the November 2026 midterms represent the central driver behind the 67% trader consensus for impeachment before January 2029.** With Republicans holding a narrow majority today, articles cannot advance without bipartisan support, keeping near-term odds low. A Democratic House would control the agenda, committees, and floor votes, allowing a simple majority to pass articles focused on issues such as immigration enforcement and agency actions. Recent filings, including Rep. Al Green’s August 2026 resolution citing ICE and CBP operations, illustrate ongoing Democratic interest even without immediate prospects of success. Trump has publicly noted that loss of the House would likely trigger proceedings. Senate conviction remains improbable given structural thresholds, but the market prices only House passage. Historical patterns of midterm losses for the president’s party and polling on congressional control reinforce the timeline-dependent pricing.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
ভলিউম
$94,684শেষ তারিখ
Jan 20, 2029মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.**Democratic prospects for regaining House control in the November 2026 midterms represent the central driver behind the 67% trader consensus for impeachment before January 2029.** With Republicans holding a narrow majority today, articles cannot advance without bipartisan support, keeping near-term odds low. A Democratic House would control the agenda, committees, and floor votes, allowing a simple majority to pass articles focused on issues such as immigration enforcement and agency actions. Recent filings, including Rep. Al Green’s August 2026 resolution citing ICE and CBP operations, illustrate ongoing Democratic interest even without immediate prospects of success. Trump has publicly noted that loss of the House would likely trigger proceedings. Senate conviction remains improbable given structural thresholds, but the market prices only House passage. Historical patterns of midterm losses for the president’s party and polling on congressional control reinforce the timeline-dependent pricing.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
ভলিউম
$94,684শেষ তারিখ
Jan 20, 2029মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Democratic prospects for regaining House control in the November 2026 midterms represent the central driver behind the 67% trader consensus for impeachment before January 2029.** With Republicans holding a narrow majority today, articles cannot advance without bipartisan support, keeping near-term odds low. A Democratic House would control the agenda, committees, and floor votes, allowing a simple majority to pass articles focused on issues such as immigration enforcement and agency actions. Recent filings, including Rep. Al Green’s August 2026 resolution citing ICE and CBP operations, illustrate ongoing Democratic interest even without immediate prospects of success. Trump has publicly noted that loss of the House would likely trigger proceedings. Senate conviction remains improbable given structural thresholds, but the market prices only House passage. Historical patterns of midterm losses for the president’s party and polling on congressional control reinforce the timeline-dependent pricing.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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