Recent Democratic-led impeachment resolutions, including seven articles introduced in April 2025 and additional filings in spring 2026 tied to foreign policy statements on Iran, have kept the prospect of House action alive despite Republican majorities. Traders assign a 64 percent implied probability to impeachment before January 2029 largely because Democratic gains in the November 2026 midterms could flip House control, enabling a party-line vote similar to prior proceedings. President Trump has publicly linked Republican midterm success to avoiding renewed articles, while public polling shows majority support for an impeachment inquiry. Senate conviction remains unlikely under current partisan lines, but the market reflects the structural opening created by the next Congress.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWill Trump be impeached before his term ends?
$62,328 Vol.
$62,328 Vol.
$62,328 Vol.
$62,328 Vol.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent Democratic-led impeachment resolutions, including seven articles introduced in April 2025 and additional filings in spring 2026 tied to foreign policy statements on Iran, have kept the prospect of House action alive despite Republican majorities. Traders assign a 64 percent implied probability to impeachment before January 2029 largely because Democratic gains in the November 2026 midterms could flip House control, enabling a party-line vote similar to prior proceedings. President Trump has publicly linked Republican midterm success to avoiding renewed articles, while public polling shows majority support for an impeachment inquiry. Senate conviction remains unlikely under current partisan lines, but the market reflects the structural opening created by the next Congress.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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