Traders assign a 61.5% probability to no Trump-Putin meeting by year-end because bilateral diplomacy has stalled since their August 2025 summit in Alaska, with recent phone contacts producing no scheduled follow-up and White House statements confirming no immediate plans. Ongoing escalation in Ukraine, combined with European pressure against any bilateral deal excluding allies and bipartisan U.S. sanctions initiatives, has reduced near-term summit prospects. China leads alternative locations at 34% as traders price in the possibility of a multilateral event such as a BRICS or G20 gathering drawing both leaders, while U.S. and other venues remain under 3% absent a breakthrough in ceasefire talks or a confirmed invitation. Resolution timing hinges on any verified diplomatic announcement before December 31.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWhere will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
No meeting by December 31 64%
China 33%
United States 2.6%
Other <1%
$476,601 Vol.
$476,601 Vol.

No meeting by December 31
64%

China
33%

United States
3%

Other
1%

Other EU country
1%

Turkey
1%

Gulf country
<1%

Russia
<1%

Finland
<1%

Switzerland
<1%

Belarus
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

Japan
<1%

Australia
<1%
No meeting by December 31 64%
China 33%
United States 2.6%
Other <1%
$476,601 Vol.
$476,601 Vol.

No meeting by December 31
64%

China
33%

United States
3%

Other
1%

Other EU country
1%

Turkey
1%

Gulf country
<1%

Russia
<1%

Finland
<1%

Switzerland
<1%

Belarus
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

Japan
<1%

Australia
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign a 61.5% probability to no Trump-Putin meeting by year-end because bilateral diplomacy has stalled since their August 2025 summit in Alaska, with recent phone contacts producing no scheduled follow-up and White House statements confirming no immediate plans. Ongoing escalation in Ukraine, combined with European pressure against any bilateral deal excluding allies and bipartisan U.S. sanctions initiatives, has reduced near-term summit prospects. China leads alternative locations at 34% as traders price in the possibility of a multilateral event such as a BRICS or G20 gathering drawing both leaders, while U.S. and other venues remain under 3% absent a breakthrough in ceasefire talks or a confirmed invitation. Resolution timing hinges on any verified diplomatic announcement before December 31.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড


বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা