Google's Gemini models drove the dominant trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability for third place on OpenRouter market share during the week of September 7, fueled by steady token volume growth in Gemini 3 Flash variants amid broader platform usage data. This positioning reflects Google's competitive edge in integrated developer tools and cost-effective inference options that captured meaningful query routing, outpacing several Chinese labs and established players in the aggregated weekly totals. Key upcoming catalysts include any late-week model releases or pricing adjustments that could shift shares before resolution. Scenarios that could still challenge this include sudden spikes in adoption for Z.ai's GLM series, Tencent's Hy models, or DeepSeek variants if new open-weight releases accelerate token volume beyond current trends.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertGoogle 100.0%
Anthropic 1.0%
DeepSeek <1%
Z.ai <1%
$11,191 Vol.
$11,191 Vol.

DeepSeek
Nein

Z.ai
Nein

OpenAI
Nein

Tencent
Nein

Xiaomi
Nein

Ja

Anthropic
Nein

MiniMax
Nein

Nvidia
Nein

Qwen
Nein

Meta
Nein

xAI
Nein
Google 100.0%
Anthropic 1.0%
DeepSeek <1%
Z.ai <1%
$11,191 Vol.
$11,191 Vol.

DeepSeek
Nein

Z.ai
Nein

OpenAI
Nein

Tencent
Nein

Xiaomi
Nein

Ja

Anthropic
Nein

MiniMax
Nein

Nvidia
Nein

Qwen
Nein

Meta
Nein

xAI
Nein
A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.
This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 14, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 14, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 18, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 3rd after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 11, 2026, 3:50 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://openrouter.ai/rankingsAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.
This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 14, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 14, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 18, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 3rd after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://openrouter.ai/rankingsAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Google's Gemini models drove the dominant trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability for third place on OpenRouter market share during the week of September 7, fueled by steady token volume growth in Gemini 3 Flash variants amid broader platform usage data. This positioning reflects Google's competitive edge in integrated developer tools and cost-effective inference options that captured meaningful query routing, outpacing several Chinese labs and established players in the aggregated weekly totals. Key upcoming catalysts include any late-week model releases or pricing adjustments that could shift shares before resolution. Scenarios that could still challenge this include sudden spikes in adoption for Z.ai's GLM series, Tencent's Hy models, or DeepSeek variants if new open-weight releases accelerate token volume beyond current trends.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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