The open 2026 Alaska gubernatorial race, triggered by term limits on incumbent Mike Dunleavy, features a nonpartisan blanket primary on August 18 that advances the top four candidates to a ranked-choice general election. Democrat Tom Begich holds the market lead at 37 percent, consistent with early polls showing him ahead in a fragmented field where Republicans split support among multiple candidates including Bernadette Wilson at 24.5 percent. Wilson's recent entry as a conservative activist and her announcement of a running mate have positioned her as a notable contender, while other Republicans such as Treg Taylor, Click Bishop, and Nancy Dahlstrom trail further behind. This vote-splitting dynamic and Begich's name recognition explain the current trader consensus ahead of filing deadlines and additional polling.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertTom Begich 37%
Bernadette Wilson 25%
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 10.2%
Treg Taylor 10.1%
$971,977 Vol.
$971,977 Vol.

Tom Begich
37%

Bernadette Wilson
25%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
10%

Treg Taylor
10%

Click Bishop
7%

Nancy Dahlstrom
6%

David Bronson
5%

Matt Heilala
1%

Adam Crum
1%

Mary Peltola
<1%

Matt Claman
<1%

James Parkin
<1%

Edna DeVries
<1%

Shelley Hughes
<1%

Lisa Murkowski
<1%

Hank Kroll
<1%

Bruce Walden
<1%
Tom Begich 37%
Bernadette Wilson 25%
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 10.2%
Treg Taylor 10.1%
$971,977 Vol.
$971,977 Vol.

Tom Begich
37%

Bernadette Wilson
25%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
10%

Treg Taylor
10%

Click Bishop
7%

Nancy Dahlstrom
6%

David Bronson
5%

Matt Heilala
1%

Adam Crum
1%

Mary Peltola
<1%

Matt Claman
<1%

James Parkin
<1%

Edna DeVries
<1%

Shelley Hughes
<1%

Lisa Murkowski
<1%

Hank Kroll
<1%

Bruce Walden
<1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Markt eröffnet: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open 2026 Alaska gubernatorial race, triggered by term limits on incumbent Mike Dunleavy, features a nonpartisan blanket primary on August 18 that advances the top four candidates to a ranked-choice general election. Democrat Tom Begich holds the market lead at 37 percent, consistent with early polls showing him ahead in a fragmented field where Republicans split support among multiple candidates including Bernadette Wilson at 24.5 percent. Wilson's recent entry as a conservative activist and her announcement of a running mate have positioned her as a notable contender, while other Republicans such as Treg Taylor, Click Bishop, and Nancy Dahlstrom trail further behind. This vote-splitting dynamic and Begich's name recognition explain the current trader consensus ahead of filing deadlines and additional polling.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen