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icon for Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

icon for Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

26% Chance
Polymarket
NEU
26% Chance
Polymarket
NEU
Michigan voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would call a state constitutional convention to rewrite the state constitution. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).**Michigan voters face an automatic constitutional convention question on the November 3, 2026 ballot, the fourth such referendum since the 1963 Constitution took effect.** The measure asks whether to convene elected delegates in 2027 for a general revision, with any proposals then submitted to voters for ratification. Historical precedent strongly shapes current trader sentiment, as voters rejected prior calls by wide margins—77% no in 1978, 72% in 1994, and 67% in 2010—reflecting consistent preference for the existing framework over a full rewrite. Organized opposition from education and labor groups, including the Michigan Education Association, has already mobilized against the proposal, citing risks that a convention could reopen debates on public schools, collective bargaining, and other protected provisions. Targeted constitutional amendments via petition or legislative referral remain available as an alternative path for specific changes, further reducing perceived need for a convention. With the question appearing automatically every 16 years and limited recent polling or momentum for approval, trader consensus at 68% for rejection aligns with these established patterns and institutional preferences.

Michigan voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would call a state constitutional convention to rewrite the state constitution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).
Volumen
$6,313
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Mar 2, 2026, 6:11 PM ET
Michigan voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would call a state constitutional convention to rewrite the state constitution. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).
Michigan voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would call a state constitutional convention to rewrite the state constitution. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).**Michigan voters face an automatic constitutional convention question on the November 3, 2026 ballot, the fourth such referendum since the 1963 Constitution took effect.** The measure asks whether to convene elected delegates in 2027 for a general revision, with any proposals then submitted to voters for ratification. Historical precedent strongly shapes current trader sentiment, as voters rejected prior calls by wide margins—77% no in 1978, 72% in 1994, and 67% in 2010—reflecting consistent preference for the existing framework over a full rewrite. Organized opposition from education and labor groups, including the Michigan Education Association, has already mobilized against the proposal, citing risks that a convention could reopen debates on public schools, collective bargaining, and other protected provisions. Targeted constitutional amendments via petition or legislative referral remain available as an alternative path for specific changes, further reducing perceived need for a convention. With the question appearing automatically every 16 years and limited recent polling or momentum for approval, trader consensus at 68% for rejection aligns with these established patterns and institutional preferences.

Michigan voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would call a state constitutional convention to rewrite the state constitution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).
Volumen
$6,313
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Mar 2, 2026, 6:11 PM ET
Michigan voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would call a state constitutional convention to rewrite the state constitution. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

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Die aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeit für „Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?" liegt bei 26% für „Yes". Das bedeutet, die Polymarket-Community glaubt derzeit, dass eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 26% besteht, dass dieses Ereignis eintritt. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit auf Basis tatsächlicher Handelsgeschäfte aktualisiert und liefern ein ständig aktualisiertes Signal dessen, was der Markt erwartet.

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