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icon for Wird Michigan dafür stimmen, die Verfassung des Bundesstaates neu zu schreiben?
Politik·Midterms

Wird Michigan dafür stimmen, die Verfassung des Bundesstaates neu zu schreiben?

icon for Wird Michigan dafür stimmen, die Verfassung des Bundesstaates neu zu schreiben?
Politik·Midterms

Wird Michigan dafür stimmen, die Verfassung des Bundesstaates neu zu schreiben?

Ja

0% Chance
Polymarket
NEU

Ja

0% Chance
Polymarket
NEU
Michigan voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would call a state constitutional convention to rewrite the state constitution. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).Trader consensus on Polymarket favors rejecting Michigan's automatic constitutional convention question at 56% for "No," reflecting historical voter wariness and recent organized opposition. Michigan voters have turned down similar ballot proposals every 16 years since the 1963 constitution's adoption, most recently in 2010, amid concerns over unpredictable delegate outcomes that could overhaul protections on issues like abortion rights, labor rules, and taxes. A bipartisan coalition of business groups, labor unions, and advocacy organizations launched in late April 2026 urging a "No" vote, joined by the Michigan Democratic Party's March endorsement, citing risks of costly, lengthy rewrites amid a crowded November ballot featuring the open governor's race and other initiatives. Absent polling, traders weigh these structural and institutional pressures against limited pro-convention momentum.

Michigan voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would call a state constitutional convention to rewrite the state constitution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).
Volumen
$6,054
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Mar 2, 2026, 6:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Michigan voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would call a state constitutional convention to rewrite the state constitution. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).
Michigan voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would call a state constitutional convention to rewrite the state constitution. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).Trader consensus on Polymarket favors rejecting Michigan's automatic constitutional convention question at 56% for "No," reflecting historical voter wariness and recent organized opposition. Michigan voters have turned down similar ballot proposals every 16 years since the 1963 constitution's adoption, most recently in 2010, amid concerns over unpredictable delegate outcomes that could overhaul protections on issues like abortion rights, labor rules, and taxes. A bipartisan coalition of business groups, labor unions, and advocacy organizations launched in late April 2026 urging a "No" vote, joined by the Michigan Democratic Party's March endorsement, citing risks of costly, lengthy rewrites amid a crowded November ballot featuring the open governor's race and other initiatives. Absent polling, traders weigh these structural and institutional pressures against limited pro-convention momentum.

Michigan voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would call a state constitutional convention to rewrite the state constitution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).
Volumen
$6,054
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Mar 2, 2026, 6:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Michigan voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would call a state constitutional convention to rewrite the state constitution. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wird Michigan dafür stimmen, die Verfassung des Bundesstaates neu zu schreiben?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 2 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Wird Michigan dafür stimmen, die Verfassung des Bundesstaates neu zu schreiben?" mit 46%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 46¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 46% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Wird Michigan dafür stimmen, die Verfassung des Bundesstaates neu zu schreiben?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Mar 2, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „Wird Michigan dafür stimmen, die Verfassung des Bundesstaates neu zu schreiben?" ist „Wird Michigan dafür stimmen, die Verfassung des Bundesstaates neu zu schreiben?" mit 46%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 46% zuweist. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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