Trader consensus assigns a 92.5% market-implied probability that Costco will hold its $1.50 hot dog price steady through 2026, anchored by the company’s decades-long policy of treating the food-court item as a loss leader that sustains high membership renewal rates and foot traffic. Recent earnings releases show resilient same-store sales and gross margins above 10% without any need to adjust this signature offering, while executive commentary continues to emphasize competitive positioning over short-term cost recovery. Commodity price stability in proteins and buns further supports the current odds. Still, a sharp spike in input costs or an unexpected management shift could introduce pressure before year-end, though historical patterns and current balance-sheet strength make such a reversal unlikely.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
NEU
NEU
31. Dez. 2026
Ja
NEU
NEU
31. Dez. 2026
Costco is known for selling cheap hot dogs. As of December 2, 2025, the Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo is $1.50.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of a standard Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo before tax exceeds $1.50 in any Costco store in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If Costco announces they will increase the price, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether that change is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Costco, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus assigns a 92.5% market-implied probability that Costco will hold its $1.50 hot dog price steady through 2026, anchored by the company’s decades-long policy of treating the food-court item as a loss leader that sustains high membership renewal rates and foot traffic. Recent earnings releases show resilient same-store sales and gross margins above 10% without any need to adjust this signature offering, while executive commentary continues to emphasize competitive positioning over short-term cost recovery. Commodity price stability in proteins and buns further supports the current odds. Still, a sharp spike in input costs or an unexpected management shift could introduce pressure before year-end, though historical patterns and current balance-sheet strength make such a reversal unlikely.
Costco is known for selling cheap hot dogs. As of December 2, 2025, the Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo is $1.50.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of a standard Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo before tax exceeds $1.50 in any Costco store in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If Costco announces they will increase the price, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether that change is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Costco, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of a standard Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo before tax exceeds $1.50 in any Costco store in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If Costco announces they will increase the price, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether that change is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Costco, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 2, 2025, 6:24 PM ET
Volumen
$9,081Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 2, 2025, 6:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Costco is known for selling cheap hot dogs. As of December 2, 2025, the Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo is $1.50.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of a standard Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo before tax exceeds $1.50 in any Costco store in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If Costco announces they will increase the price, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether that change is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Costco, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus assigns a 92.5% market-implied probability that Costco will hold its $1.50 hot dog price steady through 2026, anchored by the company’s decades-long policy of treating the food-court item as a loss leader that sustains high membership renewal rates and foot traffic. Recent earnings releases show resilient same-store sales and gross margins above 10% without any need to adjust this signature offering, while executive commentary continues to emphasize competitive positioning over short-term cost recovery. Commodity price stability in proteins and buns further supports the current odds. Still, a sharp spike in input costs or an unexpected management shift could introduce pressure before year-end, though historical patterns and current balance-sheet strength make such a reversal unlikely.
Costco is known for selling cheap hot dogs. As of December 2, 2025, the Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo is $1.50.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of a standard Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo before tax exceeds $1.50 in any Costco store in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If Costco announces they will increase the price, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether that change is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Costco, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of a standard Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo before tax exceeds $1.50 in any Costco store in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If Costco announces they will increase the price, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether that change is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Costco, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$9,081Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 2, 2025, 6:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus assigns a 92.5% market-implied probability that Costco will hold its $1.50 hot dog price steady through 2026, anchored by the company’s decades-long policy of treating the food-court item as a loss leader that sustains high membership renewal rates and foot traffic. Recent earnings releases show resilient same-store sales and gross margins above 10% without any need to adjust this signature offering, while executive commentary continues to emphasize competitive positioning over short-term cost recovery. Commodity price stability in proteins and buns further supports the current odds. Still, a sharp spike in input costs or an unexpected management shift could introduce pressure before year-end, though historical patterns and current balance-sheet strength make such a reversal unlikely.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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