Ongoing military tensions in the Persian Gulf, centered on the Strait of Hormuz, shape trader views on Farsi Island's status. US and allied strikes since early 2026 have targeted Iranian coastal defenses, cruise missile sites, and communications links on islands including Qeshm, Greater Tunb, and Kharg, aiming to degrade IRGC naval operations and restore open navigation. Iran has responded with threats, drone and missile launches, and attempts to enforce transit restrictions, while Gulf states and the US have rejected any Iranian control or fees over the waterway. Farsi Island hosts an IRGC Navy base and has seen prior US vessel activity in its vicinity, but no confirmed shift in control has occurred amid the broader campaign. Scheduled diplomatic or escalation events through late August 2026 could still influence outcomes before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertFarsi-Insel nicht mehr unter iranischer Kontrolle von...?
Farsi-Insel nicht mehr unter iranischer Kontrolle von...?
$168,199 Vol.
31. Aug. 2026
31. August
1%
$168,199 Vol.
31. August
$159,307 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Farsi Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Farsi Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Farsi Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing military tensions in the Persian Gulf, centered on the Strait of Hormuz, shape trader views on Farsi Island's status. US and allied strikes since early 2026 have targeted Iranian coastal defenses, cruise missile sites, and communications links on islands including Qeshm, Greater Tunb, and Kharg, aiming to degrade IRGC naval operations and restore open navigation. Iran has responded with threats, drone and missile launches, and attempts to enforce transit restrictions, while Gulf states and the US have rejected any Iranian control or fees over the waterway. Farsi Island hosts an IRGC Navy base and has seen prior US vessel activity in its vicinity, but no confirmed shift in control has occurred amid the broader campaign. Scheduled diplomatic or escalation events through late August 2026 could still influence outcomes before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Farsi Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Farsi Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Farsi Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Farsi Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Farsi Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 20, 2026, 9:14 PM ET
Volumen
$168,199Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 20, 2026, 9:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Farsi Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Farsi Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Farsi Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing military tensions in the Persian Gulf, centered on the Strait of Hormuz, shape trader views on Farsi Island's status. US and allied strikes since early 2026 have targeted Iranian coastal defenses, cruise missile sites, and communications links on islands including Qeshm, Greater Tunb, and Kharg, aiming to degrade IRGC naval operations and restore open navigation. Iran has responded with threats, drone and missile launches, and attempts to enforce transit restrictions, while Gulf states and the US have rejected any Iranian control or fees over the waterway. Farsi Island hosts an IRGC Navy base and has seen prior US vessel activity in its vicinity, but no confirmed shift in control has occurred amid the broader campaign. Scheduled diplomatic or escalation events through late August 2026 could still influence outcomes before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Farsi Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Farsi Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Farsi Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Farsi Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Farsi Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$168,199Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 20, 2026, 9:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing military tensions in the Persian Gulf, centered on the Strait of Hormuz, shape trader views on Farsi Island's status. US and allied strikes since early 2026 have targeted Iranian coastal defenses, cruise missile sites, and communications links on islands including Qeshm, Greater Tunb, and Kharg, aiming to degrade IRGC naval operations and restore open navigation. Iran has responded with threats, drone and missile launches, and attempts to enforce transit restrictions, while Gulf states and the US have rejected any Iranian control or fees over the waterway. Farsi Island hosts an IRGC Navy base and has seen prior US vessel activity in its vicinity, but no confirmed shift in control has occurred amid the broader campaign. Scheduled diplomatic or escalation events through late August 2026 could still influence outcomes before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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