Broad bipartisan backing for reauthorizing FISA Section 702 drives the near-certain trader consensus, as lawmakers across parties view the authority as essential for collecting foreign intelligence on non-U.S. persons abroad amid threats from Iran, China, and terrorist groups. Recent congressional action, including multiple short-term extensions passed in April 2026 with votes exceeding 260 in the House, has kept the program operational while debate continues over reforms such as warrant requirements for U.S. person queries. Administration pressure and intelligence community endorsements further reinforce expectations of timely passage before the June 2026 deadline. Even at these levels, a sudden impasse over privacy amendments could force another brief extension rather than outright lapse.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertFISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?
$40,922 Vol.
$40,922 Vol.
30. Apr. 2026
$40,922 Vol.
$40,922 Vol.
30. Apr. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Broad bipartisan backing for reauthorizing FISA Section 702 drives the near-certain trader consensus, as lawmakers across parties view the authority as essential for collecting foreign intelligence on non-U.S. persons abroad amid threats from Iran, China, and terrorist groups. Recent congressional action, including multiple short-term extensions passed in April 2026 with votes exceeding 260 in the House, has kept the program operational while debate continues over reforms such as warrant requirements for U.S. person queries. Administration pressure and intelligence community endorsements further reinforce expectations of timely passage before the June 2026 deadline. Even at these levels, a sudden impasse over privacy amendments could force another brief extension rather than outright lapse.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 20, 2026, 3:37 PM ET
Volumen
$40,922Enddatum
30. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 20, 2026, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Broad bipartisan backing for reauthorizing FISA Section 702 drives the near-certain trader consensus, as lawmakers across parties view the authority as essential for collecting foreign intelligence on non-U.S. persons abroad amid threats from Iran, China, and terrorist groups. Recent congressional action, including multiple short-term extensions passed in April 2026 with votes exceeding 260 in the House, has kept the program operational while debate continues over reforms such as warrant requirements for U.S. person queries. Administration pressure and intelligence community endorsements further reinforce expectations of timely passage before the June 2026 deadline. Even at these levels, a sudden impasse over privacy amendments could force another brief extension rather than outright lapse.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$40,922Enddatum
30. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 20, 2026, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Broad bipartisan backing for reauthorizing FISA Section 702 drives the near-certain trader consensus, as lawmakers across parties view the authority as essential for collecting foreign intelligence on non-U.S. persons abroad amid threats from Iran, China, and terrorist groups. Recent congressional action, including multiple short-term extensions passed in April 2026 with votes exceeding 260 in the House, has kept the program operational while debate continues over reforms such as warrant requirements for U.S. person queries. Administration pressure and intelligence community endorsements further reinforce expectations of timely passage before the June 2026 deadline. Even at these levels, a sudden impasse over privacy amendments could force another brief extension rather than outright lapse.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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