Democrats’ decisive victories in the 2026 midterm elections eliminated any prospect of Republican control of Congress, let alone a trifecta or 60-seat Senate majority. Projections show Democrats flipping at least seven Republican-held Senate seats in states including Texas, Ohio, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, North Carolina, and South Carolina, securing a 54-46 or larger majority while also gaining the House. Republicans entered defending 22 of the 35 seats up for election and faced typical midterm headwinds under unified party government. With results now largely finalized, traders see no remaining path to the required Senate supermajority or retention of either chamber. Late-breaking certification disputes or recounts in a handful of races represent the only narrow uncertainties that could still influence final seat counts.
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