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icon for Groulx Quebec National Assembly Wahlsieger
Welt·Kanada

Groulx Quebec National Assembly Wahlsieger

icon for Groulx Quebec National Assembly Wahlsieger
Welt·Kanada

Groulx Quebec National Assembly Wahlsieger

Eric Girard 45%

Marie-Claude Sarrazin 44%

Julie Tourangeau 44%

Marie-Noëlle Aubertin 25%

Polymarket
NEU

Eric Girard 45%

Marie-Claude Sarrazin 44%

Julie Tourangeau 44%

Marie-Noëlle Aubertin 25%

Polymarket
NEU
icon for Eric Girard

Eric Girard

$0 Vol.

45%

icon for Marie-Claude Sarrazin

Marie-Claude Sarrazin

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Julie Tourangeau

Julie Tourangeau

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Marie-Noëlle Aubertin

Marie-Noëlle Aubertin

$25 Vol.

25%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Groulx riding remains a toss-up ahead of the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election, with trader consensus reflecting a tight contest between CAQ incumbent Eric Girard and PQ challenger Marie-Claude Sarrazin amid broader provincial volatility. Recent polling aggregates show the PQ narrowing the gap on the CAQ in francophone suburban ridings following the writ drop on August 27, while Girard's incumbency and ministerial profile provide a modest buffer against the shift. Liberal candidate Julie Tourangeau and QS nominee Marie-Noëlle Aubertin trail further back, with support fragmented across smaller parties. Limited riding-specific data since the new electoral map and nomination deadline approaching September 17 sustain the close pricing, as any late provincial momentum or turnout surge among nationalist voters could separate the frontrunners.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volumen
$25
Enddatum
5. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Groulx riding remains a toss-up ahead of the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election, with trader consensus reflecting a tight contest between CAQ incumbent Eric Girard and PQ challenger Marie-Claude Sarrazin amid broader provincial volatility. Recent polling aggregates show the PQ narrowing the gap on the CAQ in francophone suburban ridings following the writ drop on August 27, while Girard's incumbency and ministerial profile provide a modest buffer against the shift. Liberal candidate Julie Tourangeau and QS nominee Marie-Noëlle Aubertin trail further back, with support fragmented across smaller parties. Limited riding-specific data since the new electoral map and nomination deadline approaching September 17 sustain the close pricing, as any late provincial momentum or turnout surge among nationalist voters could separate the frontrunners.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volumen
$25
Enddatum
5. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

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Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Groulx Quebec National Assembly Wahlsieger" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 4 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Eric Girard" mit 45%, gefolgt von „Marie-Claude Sarrazin" mit 44%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 45¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 45% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Groulx Quebec National Assembly Wahlsieger" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 31, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Groulx Quebec National Assembly Wahlsieger" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 4 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Groulx Quebec National Assembly Wahlsieger" ist „Eric Girard" mit 45%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 45% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Marie-Claude Sarrazin" mit 44%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Groulx Quebec National Assembly Wahlsieger" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.