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icon for Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Politik·Kanada

Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Politik·Kanada

Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Guillaume Cliche-Rivard 38%

Benoit Clermont 35%

Anthony Lavoie 19%

Polymarket
NEU

Guillaume Cliche-Rivard 38%

Benoit Clermont 35%

Anthony Lavoie 19%

Polymarket
NEU
icon for Guillaume Cliche-Rivard

Guillaume Cliche-Rivard

$20 Vol.

38%

icon for Benoit Clermont

Benoit Clermont

$80 Vol.

35%

icon for Anthony Lavoie

Anthony Lavoie

$40 Vol.

19%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The 2026 Quebec general election in Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne remains a tight contest between incumbent Québec solidaire MNA Guillaume Cliche-Rivard and Liberal challenger Benoit Clermont, with CAQ candidate Anthony Lavoie trailing in projections and market pricing. The riding shifted from long-standing Liberal control to QS in the 2023 by-election amid an urban Montreal electorate focused on housing, immigration, and progressive priorities. Early provincial campaign positioning after the August 27 writ drop, combined with Cliche-Rivard’s incumbency visibility and local ground organization, has kept vote shares clustered closely without clear separation. Developments that could widen gaps include candidate debates, shifts in broader party standings, turnout patterns among progressive and anglophone voters, or late endorsements before the September 17 nomination deadline. Trader consensus reflects this competitive balance in the short campaign window.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volumen
$140
Enddatum
5. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 31, 2026, 3:52 PM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The 2026 Quebec general election in Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne remains a tight contest between incumbent Québec solidaire MNA Guillaume Cliche-Rivard and Liberal challenger Benoit Clermont, with CAQ candidate Anthony Lavoie trailing in projections and market pricing. The riding shifted from long-standing Liberal control to QS in the 2023 by-election amid an urban Montreal electorate focused on housing, immigration, and progressive priorities. Early provincial campaign positioning after the August 27 writ drop, combined with Cliche-Rivard’s incumbency visibility and local ground organization, has kept vote shares clustered closely without clear separation. Developments that could widen gaps include candidate debates, shifts in broader party standings, turnout patterns among progressive and anglophone voters, or late endorsements before the September 17 nomination deadline. Trader consensus reflects this competitive balance in the short campaign window.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volumen
$140
Enddatum
5. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 31, 2026, 3:52 PM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

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Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 3 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Guillaume Cliche-Rivard" mit 38%, gefolgt von „Benoit Clermont" mit 35%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 38¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 38% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 31, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 3 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" ist „Guillaume Cliche-Rivard" mit 38%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 38% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Benoit Clermont" mit 35%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.