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icon for Laurier-Dorion Quebec Wahlsieger der Nationalversammlung
Welt·Kanada

Laurier-Dorion Quebec Wahlsieger der Nationalversammlung

icon for Laurier-Dorion Quebec Wahlsieger der Nationalversammlung
Welt·Kanada

Laurier-Dorion Quebec Wahlsieger der Nationalversammlung

Andrés Fontecilla 44%

Kelly Lazo de la Vega 27%

Randy Legault-Rankin 26%

Derek Lefebvre 7%

Polymarket
NEU

Andrés Fontecilla 44%

Kelly Lazo de la Vega 27%

Randy Legault-Rankin 26%

Derek Lefebvre 7%

Polymarket
NEU
icon for Andrés Fontecilla

Andrés Fontecilla

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Kelly Lazo de la Vega

Kelly Lazo de la Vega

$0 Vol.

27%

icon for Randy Legault-Rankin

Randy Legault-Rankin

$0 Vol.

26%

icon for Derek Lefebvre

Derek Lefebvre

$0 Vol.

7%

icon for Emil Parfyonov

Emil Parfyonov

$0 Vol.

6%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).**In the Laurier-Dorion riding, trader probabilities reflect a tight contest between incumbent Québec solidaire MNA Andrés Fontecilla and Liberal candidate Randy Legault-Rankin, with other nominees from the Parti Québécois, Conservative Party of Quebec, and Coalition Avenir Québec trailing.** The election call on August 27 for the October 5 vote has just begun the campaign, and projections from models such as 338Canada show QS and Liberals locked in a near toss-up based on transposed 2022 results and current provincial polling. Fontecilla’s incumbency since 2018 provides an edge in this Montreal district, while Liberals retain historical strength among key voter blocs on the island. Broader trends, including PQ leads province-wide and QS softness outside urban cores, keep the seat competitive. Limited early-campaign events or local polling have yet to produce separation, leaving room for shifts from debates, turnout patterns, or late developments before nomination closes on September 17.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volumen
$0
Enddatum
5. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 31, 2026, 3:48 PM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).**In the Laurier-Dorion riding, trader probabilities reflect a tight contest between incumbent Québec solidaire MNA Andrés Fontecilla and Liberal candidate Randy Legault-Rankin, with other nominees from the Parti Québécois, Conservative Party of Quebec, and Coalition Avenir Québec trailing.** The election call on August 27 for the October 5 vote has just begun the campaign, and projections from models such as 338Canada show QS and Liberals locked in a near toss-up based on transposed 2022 results and current provincial polling. Fontecilla’s incumbency since 2018 provides an edge in this Montreal district, while Liberals retain historical strength among key voter blocs on the island. Broader trends, including PQ leads province-wide and QS softness outside urban cores, keep the seat competitive. Limited early-campaign events or local polling have yet to produce separation, leaving room for shifts from debates, turnout patterns, or late developments before nomination closes on September 17.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volumen
$0
Enddatum
5. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 31, 2026, 3:48 PM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

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Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Laurier-Dorion Quebec Wahlsieger der Nationalversammlung" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 5 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Andrés Fontecilla" mit 44%, gefolgt von „Kelly Lazo de la Vega" mit 27%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 44¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 44% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Laurier-Dorion Quebec Wahlsieger der Nationalversammlung" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 31, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Laurier-Dorion Quebec Wahlsieger der Nationalversammlung" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 5 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Laurier-Dorion Quebec Wahlsieger der Nationalversammlung" ist „Andrés Fontecilla" mit 44%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 44% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Kelly Lazo de la Vega" mit 27%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Laurier-Dorion Quebec Wahlsieger der Nationalversammlung" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.